September 05, 2003
He ain't dead yet
After seeing John Edwards' ad campaign here in South Carolina for the past few weeks, I've got a prediction that's probably worth every penny you're paying for it: The senator from North Carolina is going to surprise a lot of folks before this thing is over. In fact, he's got a much better shot at emerging as the anybody-but-Dean candidate than most people think.
UPDATE: Via Oliver Willis, here's the new Edwards' weblog.
Posted by Jack O'Toole on September 5, 2003 04:33 AM
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The Left Will Rise Again
Excerpt: THE LEFT WILL RISE AGAIN....Jack O'Toole is back. Among other things, he says he's been watching John Edwards' ads in South Carolina and thinks that Edwards may surprise a few people. What with Matt Yglesias being assimilated, Max Sawicky going...
Tracked: September 5, 2003 04:47 PM
Yeah, I like Edwards too, but we've been hearing about how he's going to catch on any minute now for a few months. At some point, it will have to actually happen.
Meanwhile, the demand for an "anybody-but-Dean" candidate is shrinking, if it even exists to begin with. There's a big difference between wanting an alternative and "anybody-but-Dean."
I, too, think the media have given Edwards short shrift. That's because the entire media culture thinks very little of the South. Everyone's talking about how many will drop out after two primaries in the North, but I think whomever takes the states on the old MD line and Florida wins it. That is, paint a little Blue into the borders of the South.
Kerry - Yankee all over him. Bush Sr. as a Dem.
Dean – Dr. "insert Republican scare-tactic here".
Lieberman – As Bill Maher put it (politically incorrectly, of course), "Jew Jewberman".
Gephardt – Vanilla ice cream.
Graham – (with Vanilla sauce).
Kucinich, Mosely-Braun, Sharpton – Ummmm, yeah.
Cruel assessments of good people, sure. But that's politics. Of the 9 declared so far, Edwards is the only one who can telegenically deliver a pro middle class message. Lauch Faircloth tried an entire campaign of anti-lawyer lines against him ("He has the lawyerly habit of lying"), and Edwards won the Senate seat anyway.
I'd be paying close attention to how the media are covering Edwards.
Ever since very early on, Edwards has been virtually ignored by the media. Since we know so many of the mainstream media are in Bush's pocket, they may have a reason to have a blackout on Edwards.
In truth, of all of the candidates, he is by far the most electable and the only candidate who can be beat Bush. He is the only one Rove fears because he's almost impossible to smear in any way, and Edwards has nothing but positives.
If by some chance Edwards listens to the media clarion call that he drop out so he can run for re-election to a seat he is not likely to win, then the Democrats are sunk next year. Really and truly sunk.
For the sake of the party, for the sake of the country, I hope Edwards resists that call.
knee jerk reaction, upon first hearing Edwards speak: he's running Clinton's first campaign, maybe better than Clinton did then. But it won't work today.
Still, I'd like to see more of him. I'm committed to Dean at this point, but if it's not going to be Dean we could do much, much worse than Edwards. I'm starting to think any of the big five, or Clark, could beat Bush if they play it smart. I don't see Lieberman winning the nomination, though.
He is the only one Rove fears because he's almost impossible to smear in any way
This doesn't matter. If there's nothing to smear him with, they'll just make something up. Unless, of course, you believe that John McCain really does have a habit of fathering illegitimate black children.