« March 2004 | Main | July 2004 »

June 30, 2004

Kevin Drum is impressed by the power of blogs to raise political money: "[T]he fact that Atrios has raised $228,000 (so far) for John Kerry is genuinely astonishing. I'm not sure what the future of the blogosphere is, but anyone who can bundle up that kind of dough is a pretty serious player."

He's absolutely right. And while I would be the first to admit that the practice of self-linking is almost always distasteful in principle, Kevin's spot-on post does seem to present an irresistible opportunity for some of us to remind a few of our friends in the business that there was a time, just over three years ago, when some scoffed -- and rather loudly -- as that basic idea was first being suggested to them....

POSTSCRIPT: Yes, I know, many readers won't care for the nice things I had to say about Andrew Sullivan in that piece, but I stand by most of it. Truth is, when he's not being a reckless demagogue, Sullivan can be well worth reading.

POSTSCRIPT 2: And congratulations to Atrios. As Kevin says, that's an astonishing accomplishment.

--------

For the past several weeks, this site has been receiving a visit every two to three minutes from a specific IP address. My completely uneducated guess is that it's probably an out-of-control feed reader, but I don't really have the requisite expertise to make that judgment. If you, well, know more about this kind of thing than I do, and have some thoughts that you'd be willing to share on the issue, please leave a comment, or drop me a line at the e-mail address on your right.

--------

June 28, 2004

Barry Ritholtz will be giving CNBC's Kudlow & Cramer the Big Picture perspective on Iraq, the economy, Election 2004, and more at 5:10 pm ET today. If you're near a TV set, don't miss it.

We now return you to our regularly scheduled programming....

--------

Actually, I don't. But Josh Marshall does, and apparently it's a doozy.

--------

In a Thursday post* that I somehow just got around to reading this morning, Jeff Jarvis argues that President Bush's fiscal policy -- tax cuts, deficits, soak the grandkids -- is "political cynicism at its worst," a fairly uncontroversial assessment with which even the conservative Andrew Sullivan (who used to edit The Even the Liberal New Republic, don't you know) would not take issue. Unfortunately, Jeff doesn't stop there:

Now Democratic New Jersey Gov. James McGreevey has made an equally cynical act but with a uniquely Democratic twist. In the state budget just approved, McGreevey lowered taxes by raising taxes. He is taxing income over $500,000 at a new and high rate to give property tax relief to people who make under $200,000 and it has been acknowledged that he can do that because there are only X thousand people in that high income bracket and, hell, none of them probably voted for McGreevey anyway. He also raised taxes on property sales so anyone in the state who is trying to use the money made in a home as a nest egg or as payment on the next home now has to pay the state on the way.

If either manager had cut spending to cut taxes, fine. That's good management. Government, just like industry, needs restructuring. But neither did that. Bush stole from our children and McGreevey stole from the state's most successful to give money and buy votes. That's bad management. That's political cynicism.

Now, I haven't studied the NJ state tax tables recently. [Recently? -- ed. Oh, alright, damn you. Ever.] It's entirely possible that McGreevey is, in fact, raising taxes on an already over-taxed group. And if Jeff wants to make that argument (with the aforementioned tax tables, of course), more power to him. But his suggestion that there is, ipso facto, some sort of moral equivalence between an effort to shift a portion of the tax burden from one group to another and a policy of slashing taxes on the wealthy and running ruinous deficits to pay for it is worse than silly; it's an insult to the intelligence of anyone who's ever spent five minutes thinking about fiscal policy. (Hell, it's an insult to anybody who's ever spent five minutes thinking about balancing a checkbook.) And the kind of moral distinction we're talking about here matters, particularly in a political era in which so much of our national debate revolves around questions of who gets and who pays and how much.

As anyone who reads his blog regularly could tell you, Jeff Jarvis is (a) a very smart guy, and (b) a man who takes the issue of moral equivalence seriously. In other words, he knows better. So, not to put too fine a point on it or anything, but ... hey, Jeff, what gives?

UPDATE: And while I'm catching up on Thursday posts that I somehow missed at the time (was I unusually busy that day?), here's Barry Ritholtz rounding up this year's "presidential indicators," and here he is again this morning with a followup.

UPDATE 2 (6/28): In case you mistakenly thought I was just being polite when I called Jeff Jarvis a very smart guy, read this sharp takedown of some of the blogosphere's nattering nabobs of know-nothingism.

*CORRECTION: Now I know why I just discovered Jeff's post: It was from yesterday, not Thursday. Sorry about that. As always, I'll try to do better next time.

--------

According to Robin Wright, the Bush Doctrine is about to take its place alongside Super Train, Manimal, and Pink Lady and Jeff in the annals of swift and spectacular flops.

In going to war 15 months ago, the president's Iraq policy rested on four broad principles: The United States should act preemptively to prevent strikes on U.S. targets. Washington should be willing to act unilaterally, alone or with a select coalition, when the United Nations or allies balk. Iraq was the next cornerstone in the global war on terrorism. And Baghdad's transformation into a new democracy would spark regionwide change.

But these central planks of Bush doctrine have been tainted by spiraling violence, limited reconstruction, failure to find weapons of mass destruction or prove Iraq's ties to al Qaeda, and mounting Arab disillusionment with U.S. leadership.

"Of the four principles, three have failed, and the fourth -- democracy promotion -- is hanging by a sliver," said Geoffrey Kemp, a National Security Council staff member in the Reagan administration and now director of regional strategic programs at the Nixon Center.

The president has "walked away from unilateralism. We're not going to do another preemptive strike anytime soon, certainly not in Iran or North Korea. And it looks like terrorism is getting worse, not better, especially in critical countries like Saudi Arabia," Kemp said.

As a result, Bush doctrine could become the biggest casualty of U.S. intervention in Iraq, which is entering a new phase this week as the United States prepares to hand over power to the new Iraqi government.

The worst aspect of all this (aside from the loss of life, of course) may be the fact that this administration's almost willful incompetence in Iraq has discredited some policy ideas -- preemption and, uh, coercive democracy promotion, in particular -- that a future president may need to be free to pursue. American lives could very well depend upon it, in fact. Unfortunately, that president will, in all likelihood, be leading a country still in the grips of what its pundits will no doubt call the Iraq syndrome; as a consequence, those tools may well be unavailable to him. And the disaster that could result is unlikely to be one about which we'll all feel better after a collective, Dick Cheney-like "f*** you" -- though a loud and unmistakable one this November just might help us avoid that unhappy fate.

--------

June 27, 2004

Yesterday's Matt Yglesias piece on the minor dustup he got into with National Review editor Rich Lowry a few months back reminded me of something I've been meaning to say since I discovered this old Corner post during a recent (and, yes, predictably sordid) episode of search-engine onanism: NRO's Ramesh Ponnuru certainly knows how to make a classy correction.

POSTSCRIPT: See? Just a few kind words and I'll lick your hand like a Labrador retriever. Who says I'm not ready for serious journalism?

--------

Jesse Taylor puts it well:

[H]ow many debates do we have in this country that start off under patently false pretenses? Tort reform, the estate tax, Social Security, the war in Iraq, and many more. It's not even different interpretations of the facts, different glosses on the same basic ideas. The partisan divide comes from the fact that we're having totally different debates on the same issues, to the point where we simply are talking about disparate ideas and problems.

I probably get at least one e-mail a week from somebody who's been around the blogosphere for a while and remembers a time when I seemed less partisan than I do now. And as much as I'd like to disagree with their assessment, I can't. In my own defense, though, I have to say that Jesse's point above has a lot to do with it. I'm still more than willing to compromise on most of the major issues; hell, I'd like to. But when the other side -- and this really is primarily a Republican problem these days -- won't even be honest about the basic nature of the questions under discussion, there's nothing to compromise about. It's just Blue Guitar stuff, and, while that may make for fascinating poesy, it's a puerile and damned near psychotic way to try to conduct the public's business in the world's oldest democracy.

As a great man almost (and perhaps should have) said, I tremble for my country when I reflect that God is sane.

POSTSCRIPT: As you may have noticed, I've decided that everything from Travis McGee to sitcom philosophy to, well, Wallace Stevens is fair game on Saturdays and Sundays. [What's next? Cat blogging? -- ed. Nope. Other folks have got that covered.] I hope nobody minds these brief side trips, but now that I'm blogging more during the week, I'm finding that a little change of pace is necessary (from my perspective, anyway) on the weekends.

POSTSCRIPT 2: You know, that reminds me. Have I told you about Dylan Thomas O'Toole? Why, he's the cutest little orange fur ball....

UPDATE (6/27): I was in such a rush to get out of here last night (Fahrenheit 9/11 beckoned) that this train wreck of a post made its way to the blog without so much as a spell check. Uncounted edits and revisions later, it's still not exactly what I had in mind, but I'm really tired of messing with it at this point, so I guess I'm just gonna have to quit while I'm behind.

Oh, well. They can't all be winners, can they?

RELATED: BUSH'S WAR ON THE TRUTH CONTINUES

--------

June 26, 2004

As Carla and I were getting ready to head out of town last week, I walked across the orchard to her grandparents' old house where we store the legacy of my misspent youth -- the boxes upon boxes of paperbacks I collected as a geeky, gawky, how's-the-weather-up-there kid. I grabbed a handful of John D. MacDonald's Travis McGee novels and we hit the road.

And, well, ... wow. Sure, the books are dated, particularly in terms of what McGee would probably call "the man-woman thing." But the entertainment quotient is high -- off-the-charts high by today's bloated bestseller standard, in fact -- and the writing is seldom less than quietly spectacular. Here's a fairly typical passage from 1971's A Tan and Sandy Silence that might be of some small interest to bloggers (and blog readers) like me and thee:

The motel television was on the cable. We turned the sound off and watched the news on the electronic printer, going by at a pace for a retarded fifth grader, white on black printing with so many typos the spelling was more like third grade than fifth.

The woes of the world inched up the screen. Droughts and murders. Inflation and balance of payments. Drugs and demonstrations. Body counts and new juntas.

Spiro was dead wrong. The trouble with the news is that everybody knows everything too fast and too often and too many times. News had always been bad. The tiger that lives in the forest just ate your wife and kids, Joe. There are no fat grub worms under the rotten logs this year, Al. Those sickies in the village on the other side of the mountain are training hairy mammoths to stomp us flat, Pete. They nailed up two thieves and one crackpot, Mary. So devote wire service people and network people and syndication people to gathering up all the bad news they can possibly dredge and comb and scrape out of a news-tired world and have them spray it back at everybody in constant streams of electrons, and two things happen. First, we all stop listening, so they have to make it even more horrendous to capture our attention. Secondly, we all become even more convinced that everything has gone rotten, and there is no hope at all, no hope at all. In a world of no hope the motto is semper fidelis, which means in translation, "Every week is screw-your-buddy week and his wife too, if he's out of town."

As the Post's Jonathan Yardley wrote not long ago, "For my money, John D. MacDonald's Travis McGee is one of the great characters in contemporary American fiction -- not crime fiction; fiction, period..." Give old Trav a read, and see if you don't agree.

NOTE: No Amazon link because digging through the musty stacks in your local used bookshop is at least half the fun....

--------

Democrats and headline writers try to contain their glee outrage.

UPDATE 6/26: Mistakes were made....

--------

June 25, 2004

I don't usually do technology news here on the blog, but this sounds like it might merit some folks' immediate attention.

PC Users Warned of Infected Web Sites Computer security experts and the federal government are warning Internet users to take extra precautions when browsing the Web after an Internet attack seeded Web sites with programs that hackers can use to steal personal information.

The attack is more dangerous than most, according to the government's US-CERT cybersecurity center, infection is possible just by visiting affected Web sites, according to US-CERT, a division of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

The attackers, whose identities are unknown, targeted a flaw in Web sites powered by Microsoft's Internet Information Services Web server (IIS). The sites hit by the attack were programmed to redirect the Explorer browser to another Web site that contains code that hackers use to record what people type on their keyboards -- including data such as passwords, credit card and Social Security numbers. The code then e-mails that information back to the attackers.

Computers that run Microsoft's Internet Explorer browsers are vulnerable to infection, according to US-CERT. The CERT warning said Internet Explorer users can protect themselves by turning off the "javascript" function in their browsers. Javascript is a computer language often used in building Web sites. The attack takes advantage of two recently discovered security flaws in Internet Explorer. Microsoft released a patch in April to fix one of the security holes; the company is still working on a patch for the other flaw, which security researchers publicly detailed less than two weeks ago.

CERT recommends that Internet Explorer users consider different browsers such as Mozilla Firefox, Netscape Communicator or Opera. For people who continue to use Internet Explorer, CERT and Microsoft recommend setting the browser's security setting to "high."

More: How to protect yourself.

--------

"I said, 'Look, Mr. President, would I keep Rumsfeld? Absolutely not.' And I turned to Vice President Cheney, who was there, and I said, 'Mr. Vice President, I wouldn't keep you if it weren't constitutionally required.'"

--Senator Joe Biden, recalling his response when the president asked for advice about resignations in the wake of the Abu Ghraib prison scandal

UPDATE: Via Goldberg and Guthrie, the interview from which the quote above was drawn.

--------

Two mystery writers whose novels have made some of the good days better, and some of the bad ones tolerable: Roger L. Simon, who's often wrong but never dull, and Ed Gorman, who loves mysteries the way Elvis loves L.A. and Amos loves filter tips and Spenser loves Hawk. ... I mean Susan.

I think.

--------

June 24, 2004

Michelle Malkin wants to know why Hollywood isn't acting like it's 1941 all over again.

Once upon a time, there were people in Hollywood who loved America. And when America came under attack from enemies abroad, these actors, producers, screenwriters and directors put aside their partisan differences and created movies that -- unlike Michael Moore's new schlockumentary, "Fahrenheit 9/11" -- made all moviegoers proud to be Americans.

Let's noodle around with that concept a bit, and see how it might emerge from a different pundit's word processor.

Once upon a time, there were conservatives who loved America. And when America came under attack from enemies abroad, these senators, congressmen, columnists and opinion leaders set aside partisan differences and supported the kind of national sacrifice -- tax increases, rationing, the draft -- required to bring about the unconditional surrender of our enemies. Today's conservatives, by contrast, assure us that when the going gets tough, the tough go shopping.

Now, obviously, we all know that conservatives aren't bad people who hate America. They simply believe that different wars in different eras call for different responses. And frankly, I'd be more than a little hesitant to cheap-shot them on that point, since to do so would almost inevitably lead reasonable people to think me an intellectually dishonest, nakedly partisan propagandist of the worst kind -- a perception that I suspect I would find ... painful somehow.

It must very liberating not to have those kinds of concerns.

UPDATE: Oops. Via Pandagon.

--------

I haven't read Bill Clinton's new book yet, so I have absolutely no idea whether it's any good or not. That said, Anne Applebaum's Op-Ed page review in this morning's WaPo seems more than a little strange. Here's a taste:

In fact, other than the personal issues of interest to him -- the putting to rest of his "demons," the healing of his "self-inflicted wounds" -- there are no real themes in this book, unless you count his battle with the "forces of reaction and division" that wanted to remove him from office. For all his vaunted interest in policy solutions, it's hard to glean anything like a "big idea" from the mass of detail. For all his faith that he is on "the right side of history," he doesn't engage much with his policy opponents at all, or even acknowledge that they have any arguments worth engaging. The comparison to another former president is impossible to avoid: Maybe Ronald Reagan thought air pollution came from trees, but in the end he stared down the Soviet Union, and that's what he was remembered for. Clinton, by contrast, has left us with mind-numbing lists of foreign trips, throwaway references to long-forgotten political battles, meetings with the pope, Rabin, Yeltsin, whoever. Because there is no central argument, no clear explanation of what his presidency was about, one is left, in the end, with nothing other than an emotional reaction to the man himself -- as always.

Two quick points:

1) I can't wait for Applebaum to start giving us her take on the classics: Other than the personal issues of interest to Mr. Wilde -- the putting to rest of his "demons," the healing of his "self-inflicted wounds" -- there are no real themes in De Profundis, unless you count his battle with the "forces of reaction and division" that sent him to prison....

2) Read that second bit again, the "comparison" to President Reagan. Talk about apples and oranges: Clinton doesn't make the big policy argument in his book. Reagan will be remembered for.... Not, Clinton doesn't make the argument, and Reagan did. Because, of course, Reagan didn't. Reagan took the big advance, and then turned the actual writing of his autobiography over to a ghost, who produced an instantly forgettable non-book book that's been gathering dust since the day it was published. In that light, Clinton's efforts look, well, not so bad. Maybe even a little better than not so bad. So we can't very well allow that comparison to be made, can we, Ms. A.? That just wouldn't do. No, that wouldn't do, at all.

As I said in the opening, I don't have a clue whether Clinton's book is any good or not. For all I know, it's as cluttered as Clancy and as turgid as Turgenev. But I do know a hatchet-job when I see one -- and Ms. Applebaum's review is a flawless exemplar of the species.

UPDATE: The indispensable Brad DeLong reviews the reviews here.

UPDATE 2 (6/24): Novelist Larry McMurtry writes, "William Jefferson Clinton's 'My Life' is, by a generous measure, the richest American presidential autobiography - no other book tells us as vividly or fully what it is like to be president of the United States for eight years."

UPDATE 3 (6/24): Jeff Jarvis adds, "The NY Times says the book set records for sales in its first days, beating Hillary, and perhaps racking up 500k in a day. But then there's the pissy local-angle story: It's not selling well in East Texas. So, what, that means four copies instead of five?"

--------

June 23, 2004

Unfogged is back.

--------

June 22, 2004

I'm not a fiskin' kinda guy, but this post by the normally thoughtful Tacitus really deserves a little special attention. So let's start at the top and run through the whole thing, shall we?

Yglesias is upset that retrospectives on Clinton are focusing on the single most significant event of Clinton's presidency. Funny how that goes.

Actually, Matt's complaint was just the reverse, but since Tacitus cleaned that up with an update, we'll move on.

If you think I don't like the implicit contrast with the premier Republican president of the last quarter-century, think again.

The premier Republican president of the last quarter-century? Sure, I'll buy that. President Reagan beats Bush pere and fils hands-down. I'll leave it to some of the Gipper's more ardent admirers to determine whether that's really a compliment, though, or a classic case of damning with faint praise.

Bill Clinton was a charismatic man, a competent administrator, a moral void, and in league with the presidents between Jackson and Lincoln as a great deferrer of inevitable questions of American identity and mission. He gets due credit for fortuitous timing -- amazing what the business cycle and emerging transformative technologies can do -- and, paradoxically, for having so little core principle as to easily tack with the political winds after November '94.

A moral void? Let's see, now. Bill Clinton was part of a generation of Southern pols that had an opportunity to switch parties without penalty as it became clear that the political future of the region, and perhaps even the nation, was spelled GOP. We can all name several who chose to do precisely that. Clinton didn't. In fact, he stood some pretty unpopular progressive ground in the 1980s, in Arkansas and beyond. That doesn't sound like the behavior of a "moral void" to me. Unless, of course, you believe that public morality doesn't count -- in which case, we can pull out the Reagan family scrapbook and start our discussion of his public life with the loving portrait of wise and responsible parenting limned therein.

And what are we to make of the charge that Clinton benefited from "fortuitous timing?" Well, he did, actually. On the other hand, that argument sounds a little silly coming from a blogger who, just a few sentences later, credits Ronald Reagan with winning the Cold War. Could Reagan have "won" the Cold War if he'd been elected in 1960? Or 1970? Of course not. The issue isn't the hands these presidents were dealt, but how well they played them. And, by that standard, Clinton did just fine, thank you very much.

As to the question of Clinton's supposed lack of "core principle[s]," I'd challenge anyone out there to find a single bill -- just one, folks -- that Clinton signed after the Republican takeover in 1994 that's fundamentally at odds with the ideas outlined in his 1992 presidential announcement speech, or his quite detailed campaign book, Putting People First. As my old Irish grandfather used to say, if you can do that, I'll kiss your a** at high noon in the middle of Central Park -- and give you fifteen minutes to gather a crowd first.

Some good conservative governance happened on Clinton's watch (free trade, welfare reform, and balanced budgets among them), and that ought not go unacknowledged. On the other hand, we can't forget feckless feel-good foreign policy, health care "reform," and yes, impeachment; the latter of which, whatever roots it had in an obsessive witch-hunt, would never have occurred absent Clinton's own gross iniquity. Is this part of the Clinton legacy? Absolutely. Is it directly reflective upon Clinton himself? Without question. Was the second presidential impeachment in over two centuries of American independence inherently the signal event of that president's tenure in office? Of course.

Feckless feel-good foreign policy? Compared to what? Allowing several hundred marines to die in a Beirut-based photo op before declaring, Rosanne Rosannadanna-like, "Never mind." Or deploying thousands of troops to Somalia with the primary mission of getting hungry people off America's TV screens? As someone -- Kevin Drum, I think -- said recently, in a somewhat different context, "Mr. Pot, meet Mr. Kettle."

Health care reform? Clinton blew it, and he'd tell you that himself. Still, I have to say that it felt pretty damned good to have a president who actually cared about the fact that forty million Americans don't have health insurance. And, frankly, I'm looking forward to the day when I can feel that way again.

As to Tac's suggestion that the Lewinsky mess involved "gross iniquity," rather than, say, monumental middle-aged foolishness, I honestly don't have much of a response. I guess either you're with us, or you're with the moralists.

Yglesias and those Democrats weary of being reminded of the Republican archetype they and theirs so wrongly opposed in the crisis years may dislike it. But truth will out: The historical memory of Ronald Reagan reduces to winning the Cold War. The historical memory of Bill Clinton reduces to tawdry disgrace. If this is the Democratic counterpoint to the pro-conservative nostalgia of the past few weeks -- and let's be honest, this is the best they have to offer -- then I, for one, can only respond thus:

Bring it on.

Yes, indeed, my friend -- do bring it on.

Eight years of economic expansion that reached the bottom as well as the top. Eight years of strong alliances and a safe, secure America. Eight years in which our greatest national problem was the wayward presidential member.

I'd take that again in a heart beat. And so would the vast majority of the hundred million or so people who are going to show up this November and decide who's to govern this country for the next four years.

So, please, don't bring it on slowly, Tacitus, and don't bring it on so carelessly next time. Bring it with all you've got, and bring it now. We're ready. And a better future is just an election away.

UPDATE: Okay, I've settled down now. Sorry about the unusually long post. (That atypically earnest prose at the end there could use a little work, too, actually.) Next time I'll try to exercise a little more restraint.

CORRECTION: So I'm reading this typically witty billmon post over at the Whiskey Bar, when all of a sudden I realize that I may have just had my first senior moment at the not-so-tender age of thirty-eight: Of course it was Emily Litella, and not Rosanne Rosannadanna, who famously said, "Never mind."

Never mind, indeed.

--------

Bush Loses Advantage In War on Terrorism
Nation Evenly Divided on President, Kerry

POSTSCRIPT: As Kevin Drum points out, these results mean that the Bush reelect is in even deeper doo-doo than we knew.

--------

AP: U.S. Hostage Beheaded, Terror Group Says

UPDATE: James Joyner is blogging the story here.

ANOTHER UPDATE: More at Unfogged.

FINAL UPDATE: Spencer Ackerman offers an intriguing (and deeply discouraging) perspective here.

--------

PoliticsOnline president Phil Noble tells the AP that bloggers at this year's Democratic convention will be able to cover "the small stories, the small voices" that Big Media tends to ignore.

FULL DISCLOSURE: See the About section in the left-hand column.

--------

I wish I could excoriate the Supreme Court for its ruling yesterday that states can't unilaterally give their citizens the right to collect meaningful damages from HMOs for malpractice, but I can't. It appears to be a pretty sound decision, with the Court recognizing, and deferring to, the clear intent of Congress.

So, if you believe that HMOs are, in fact, practicing medicine when they deny life-saving treatments to their customers, and that those customers or their loved ones should have the right to punish the HMOs that do so, there's really only one remedy available.

Elect a Democratic Congress that agrees with you.

UPDATE: In response to the decision, the American Medical Association says that HMOs "can now practice medicine without a license, and without the same accountability that physicians face every day."

--------

Columnist and blogger Michelle Malkin uses an e-mailer to suggest that Bill Clinton's sins were somehow comparable to those of Connecticut Governor John Rowland, who announced his resignation today in the face of several ongoing investigations.

So what was Rowland accused of, anyway? A little extracurricular activity in the Governor's Mansion? Lying about a girlfriend he shouldn't have had?

Well, no, not exactly.

Rowland became engulfed in scandal in December when he admitted accepting renovations at his lakeside cottage -- including a hot tub and new heating system -- and lying about it. Other gifts and favors soon came to light.

One longtime friend, a state contractor, bought the governor's Washington condominium at an inflated price through a straw buyer. Rowland received cigars, champagne, a vintage Ford Mustang convertible, a canoe and free or discounted vacations from employees and friends -- including some with state contracts. The FBI was even looking into whether Rowland skimmed money from low-stakes poker games he hosted.

Please, will someone tell me: What is it about Bill Clinton that makes otherwise rational conservatives so goofy? And isn't there a program of some kind that offers them at least a halfway decent shot at recovery?

--------

June 21, 2004

It ain't pretty, babe.

--------

As we saw recently in Spain, Al Qaeda has a pretty sophisticated understanding of the larger political world in which they operate. There's further evidence of that today:

AP: The al-Qaida group responsible for abducting and killing an American engineer says it was aided by sympathizers in the Saudi security forces, a claim that was denied by Saudi authorities.

Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula made the claim in an account of the operation posted on an Islamic extremist Web site Sunday.

It said Saudi security forces provided uniforms and police cars to militants who then set up a fake checkpoint to kidnap Paul M. Johnson Jr. The militants say they posed as police to stop Johnson's car, anesthetized him and carried him to another car.

"A number of the cooperators who are sincere to their religion in the security apparatus donated those clothes and the police cars. We ask God to reward them and that they use their energy to serve Islam and the mujahedeen," the article said.

Regardless of its accuracy, this story is clearly the product of a smart, effective communications strategy. And what's our answer to this challenge? Well, suffice it to say that as long as the kind of numbskulls who keep insisting that public relations disasters like Abu Ghraib don't really matter are running the show in DC, we're not even in the game.

--------

If you had awakened me from a sound sleep and demanded to know whether fellow South Carolinian Jeff Quinton had a spot in the blogroll, I'd have said, "Of course, he does." (Actually, I'd have said something along the lines of "Huh?" first, but you get the idea.)

Anyway, my apologies to Jeff. He's now over there on the right where he belongs.

--------

According to today's New York Times, the Bush administration is holding about as many high-ranking Al Qaeda leaders at the US detention center at Guantánamo Bay as you're likely find in your local county lockup.

U.S. Said to Overstate Value of Guantánamo Detainees For nearly two and a half years, American officials have maintained that locked within the steel-mesh cells of the military prison here are some of the world's most dangerous terrorists — "the worst of a very bad lot," Vice President Dick Cheney has called them.

The officials say information gleaned from the detainees has exposed terrorist cells, thwarted planned attacks and revealed vital intelligence about Al Qaeda. The secrets they hold and the threats they pose justify holding them indefinitely without charge, Bush administration officials have said.

But as the Supreme Court prepares to rule on the legal status of the 595 men imprisoned here, an examination by The New York Times has found that government and military officials have repeatedly exaggerated both the danger the detainees posed and the intelligence they have provided.

In interviews, dozens of high-level military, intelligence and law-enforcement officials in the United States, Europe and the Middle East said that contrary to the repeated assertions of senior administration officials, none of the detainees at the United States Naval Base at Guantánamo Bay ranked as leaders or senior operatives of Al Qaeda. They said only a relative handful — some put the number at about a dozen, others more than two dozen — were sworn Qaeda members or other militants able to elucidate the organization's inner workings.

POSTSCRIPT: Via Drudge, Time has more on the administration's detainee mess.

UPDATE: Judge Declares Abu Ghraib a Crime Scene

--------

June 20, 2004

I meant to link to this particularly strong Matthew Yglesias post on the chief philosophical difference between the Democratic and Republican foreign policy establishments yesterday, but incipient old age reared its graying head, and I forgot to do so. As a result of that lapse, though, I can also throw in a link to this additional, hot-off-the-blog Yglesias post explaining why, if it's sexy, it's Meet the Press.

--------

If you're of a certain age, you probably remember this oft-recycled '70s sitcom plot:

Much-loved series star, Jack/Jackie, who has to be away from the office/house for some extended period, frets that the whole business/family structure is going to come crashing down in his/her absence -- an idea that's turned on its head after the first commercial break, when he/she checks in from the road and makes the unsettling discovery that everything at work/home is ... wonderful. Even worse, the reason things are going so well is that his/her stand-in has turned out to be an ideal substitute. Outstanding in every way. Suddenly, the much-loved Jack/Jackie feels, well, not very much loved. Touching hilarity ensues, as heart-strings are tugged and lessons learned.

I don't know what made me think of that on this muggy Sunday morning in old Charleston. Gen X nostalgia, I guess. Because, when I sat down to write this post, the thrust was supposed to be quite different, really. Mostly, I was just planning to inquire after a fellow denizen of the blogosphere....

So, uh, Josh, how's that vacation going?

--------

June 19, 2004

There are some who say that Bill Gates believes in the First Amendment. Well, as a former president might have said, let them come to Brazil.

--------

Sen. Joe Biden's piece on the mess we've gotten ourselves into in Iraq is behind TNR's subscriber wall, so I'm hesitant to quote from it at length. That said, four grafs and a link to their trial subscription sign-up page sounds kinda-sorta like "fair use" to me, so here goes:

Much has been said about the potential consequences of failure in Iraq--how it would provide a new haven for terrorists, deal a blow to reformers and modernizers throughout the region, and encourage radicals in Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia. But perhaps failure's most pernicious legacy will be a further hardening of the Vietnam syndrome that afflicts some in the Democratic Party--a distrust of the use of American power....

That syndrome is one reason why, from day one, many of us in Congress pressed the president to level with the American people about what would be required to prevail in Iraq. But he didn't. He didn't tell them that well over 100,000 troops would be needed for well over two years. He didn't tell them the cost would surpass $200 billion--and far exceed Iraq's oil revenue. He didn't tell them that our children and grandchildren would pay the bill because of his refusal to rescind even a small portion of the tax cut he gave to the wealthiest 1 percent of Americans. He didn't tell them that, even after paying such a heavy price, success was not assured, because no one had ever succeeded at forcibly democratizing a nation in the Middle East, let alone an entire region.

As a result, today those who recognize that we must persevere in Iraq risk losing public support. Americans sense that our policy is adrift and that we do not have a plan for success. Worse, they may conclude that this is what happens when we venture abroad. Someday, probably sooner rather than later, there will be another Slobodan Milosevic or another Saddam, and the profound mistakes in Iraq will make it harder to generate domestic and international political support for the use of force. That is a legacy we can ill afford.

Maybe, as some argue, so many mistakes have been made in Iraq that it is impossible to turn the corner. Anti-American attitudes and a nascent warlordism may already be so deeply entrenched that there is little we can do to succeed. It would be foolhardy to deny that possibility. But it would be even more foolhardy, and dangerous, to accept failure as inevitable and move to cut our losses. Despite the naysayers, it is not too late. But only the president can alter our course in Iraq. As he did when Congress first authorized him to use force, the president has the choice of using his power effectively or squandering it to satisfy ideological predilections. Let us hope he has grown wiser in the past year.

I realize that the Biden position -- yes, go to war, but, Jesus, don't be so damned dumb about it -- has never been terribly popular with either side. But I've believed from the get-go that it was the best option open to us, and I still do, I guess. At least until somebody convinces me that there was a way to put Saddam Hussein back in his box without starving the Iraqi people -- which was always the morally dubious and too seldom acknowledged flip-side of containment.

--------

June 18, 2004

Charles Kuffner: "I suppose we should have seen this one coming: In response to Rep. Chris Bell's ethics complaint against Majority Leader Tom DeLay, a GOP flack has moved to forbid the filing of such complaints by lame-duck members."

--------

A few days ago, Kevin Drum wrote a typically smart post arguing that the real divide in American politics is between big cities and small towns -- a point that last night's homeland security vote in the House illustrates quite nicely.

--------

From Friday's Financial Times:

Colin Powell would be willing to continue serving as secretary of state in a second Bush administration if he were able to take a grip on the direction of US foreign policy, a senior official said on Thursday.

According to conventional wisdom in Washington, even if President George W. Bush should win a second term in the November election, Mr Powell would take the opportunity to leave office after the frustrations of being overruled on important policy decisions by a White House in the thrall of neo-conservative ideology.

"He could possibly stay on for a year or 18 months, especially if he is told that the ship of state is available at the helm," the official said.

Mr Powell, who is 67 and had surgery for prostate cancer last December, would not want to serve another four years.

The official, who asked not to be named, said there was a possibility that the influential neo-conservatives were "in complete retreat and turning on themselves" after the setbacks in Iraq, and that there would be a "massive exiting". But he also conceded that they could simply be "hunkered down" and might return.

What I find interesting about all this isn't the internecine squabbling, which is, of course, old news at this point. Rather, it's the unquestioned presumption that, if only the neocons could be dislodged, the helm of the ship of state would suddenly be available for Secretary Powell to assume.

Which rather inevitably leads one to ask: In most administrations, isn't that guiding-the-ship-of-state job already taken?

--------

"My daughter is a single mother. She didn't get any of that."

--Southern Baptist Convention member Al Oxford, on President Bush's tax cuts, after the president's televised address to the group Tuesday

--------

June 17, 2004

Though we approach the issues from slightly different points on the ideological compass, James Joyner is a very reasonable guy. Which is why this passage surprised me so much when I came across it:

More important ... is the fact that Bush and Kerry have fundamentally different views on the war on terrorism. The Bush policy is much more aggressive—a literal rather than a figurative war—than we’d likely see under Kerry. Ultimately, though, we have to speculate on what Kerry would do since he’s been incredibly vague, preferring to criticize the Bush policy without arguing a concrete alternative.

Not to put too fine a point on it, but really, James, what more do you want?

UPDATE: James responds with a follow-up post here, and now that I've read it, I think I understand his earlier point a little better. He simply wants John Kerry to be more detailed and specific than any candidate in US history -- including the current occupant of the Oval Office, who, until recently, couldn't even tell us who he was going to turn the government of Iraq over to at the end of the month.

UPDATE 2: And James has the last word in the comments.

--------

Well said, Mr. Cole.

--------

Unlike many left-leaning bloggers, I don't make a habit of picking on Glenn Reynolds; as I've said before, and will no doubt say again, I like the guy. But this kind of raised-eyebrow, guilt-by-association stuff is really a bit much -- and if Glenn weren't so deeply involved in all the left-right sturm und drang that's roiling the blogosphere these days, I suspect he'd be the first to tell you that.

--------

Bill Clinton spoke at length last night about Ken, Paula, Monica, and the vast right-wing conspiracy after a screening of The Hunting of the President at NYU. Jeff Jarvis was there.

--------

New to the blogroll today: Paperwight's Fair Shot and The Blogging of the President: 2004.

--------

I wonder if Secretary Rumsfeld has the metrics he needs to measure the success or failure of this particular operation.

  • Step 1: Capture a legitimately dangerous terrorist in Iraq.
  • Step 2: Risk international censure by hiding said terrorist from the Red Cross because he's got information we really need to know about the inner workings of the terror network.
  • Step 3: Forget to question the terrorist.

The Times has the story:

Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, acting at the request of George J. Tenet, the director of central intelligence, ordered military officials in Iraq last November to hold a man suspected of being a senior Iraqi terrorist at a high-level detention center there but not list him on the prison's rolls, senior Pentagon and intelligence officials said Wednesday.

This prisoner and other "ghost detainees" were hidden largely to prevent the International Committee of the Red Cross from monitoring their treatment, and to avoid disclosing their location to an enemy, officials said. ...

This prisoner, who has not been named, is believed to be the first to have been kept off the books at the orders of Mr. Rumsfeld and Mr. Tenet. He was not held at Abu Ghraib, but at another prison, Camp Cropper, on the outskirts of Baghdad International Airport, officials said.

Pentagon and intelligence officials said the decision to hold the detainee without registering him - at least initially - was in keeping with the administration's legal opinion about the status of those viewed as an active threat in wartime.

Seven months later, however, the detainee - a reputed senior officer of Ansar al-Islam, a group the United States has linked to Al Qaeda and blames for some attacks in Iraq - is still languishing at the prison but has only been questioned once while in detention, in what government officials acknowledged was an extraordinary lapse.

"Once he was placed in military custody, people lost track of him," a senior intelligence official conceded Wednesday night. "The normal review processes that would keep track of him didn't."

The detainee was described by the official as someone "who was actively planning operations specifically targeting U.S. forces and interests both inside and outside of Iraq."

But once he was placed into custody at Camp Cropper, where about 100 detainees deemed to have the highest intelligence value are held, he received only one cursory arrival interrogation from military officers and was never again questioned by any other military or intelligence officers, according to Pentagon and intelligence officials.

New York Times: Rumsfeld Issued an Order to Hide Detainee in Iraq

--------

June 16, 2004

Today, Dan Drezner quotes Steven Pearlstein on John Kerry's playing of the "economic blame game," and closes with the rhetorical question, "Not exactly a replica of Reagan's optimism, eh?"

Huh? Here's then-Gov. Reagan closing out the final debate of the 1980 campaign:

It might be well if you ask yourself are you better off than you were four years ago? Is it easier for you to go and buy things in the stores than it was four years ago? Is there more or less unemployment in the country than there was four years ago? Is America as respected throughout the world as it was? Do you feel that our security is as safe? That we're as strong as we were four years ago? And if you answer all of those questions yes, why then I think your choice is very obvious as to who you'll vote for. If you don't agree, if you don't think that this course that we've been on for the last four years is what you would like to see us follow for the next four, then I could suggest another choice that you have.

Has the "economic blame game" ever been played better? Or more aggressively? President Reagan was an optimist, and that's an important lesson to take from his long and successful life. But the man was also a professional. When there was a strong "economic blame game" to be played, the real Ronald Reagan (as opposed to the political plaster saint we've seen discussed ad nauseum in recent days) didn't hesitate to step up and swing for the fences.

--------

Ogged: "Will someone please finally call Dick Cheney a liar? Please?"

--------

Sure, this blog is primarily about politics. But you didn't really expect a one-time English major named O'Toole to let this particular off-topic event pass with nary a mention, did you?

POSTSCRIPT: Mick Fealty rounds up the various online Bloomsday happenings here.

--------

Consumer Prices Surge at Fastest Rate in 3 Years

--------

Welcome to the new Drupal-powered version of the site. As promised, unregistered users can once again add comments. I hope you like it.

NOTE: If you're a registered user and you haven't received an e-mail from me with your new site info, please drop me a line at jack at jackotoole.net.

POSTSCRIPT: I believe there are a few bad internal links in some of the posts; I'll fix those as I find them. Also, I'm working on a redirection scheme to make the old inbound links work properly; if all goes well, they should start functioning again shortly. Lastly, I'll straighten out the dates and times on the old comments as soon as I get a chance. [You mean as soon as you figure out how? -- ed. Isn't that what I said?]

--------

It's been almost three months to the day since the folks at The Washington Monthly decided to throw in their lot with the Internet's version of the little guy by putting the blogger formerly known as Calpundit on their front page. So how are things working out for them?

Well, if these Alexa traffic numbers are any indication, then pretty damned well would seem to just about capture it....

chart

NOTE: Needless to say, the arrow indicates the approximate date of Kevin Drum's arrival.

--------

In the last few days, I've noticed that several people appear to have registered here at the site without validating their account via e-mail. If that's a problem on my end (i.e., if you didn't get the e-mail you were supposed to receive after signing up, or it didn't function as advertised when you did get it), please drop me a line at jack [at] jackotoole.net and I'll take care of it. Thanks.

UPDATE: And while we're on the subject of the site, I'd like to take this opportunity to draw your attention to the new (to me) links in the blogroll, including Interesting Times, Functional Ambivalent and Peach on the Beach. Go ahead and check 'em out, whydoncha?

[As always, the Standard Blogroll Note applies.]

MORE SITE NEWS: I haven't forgotten my promise to keep looking around for a reliable blog engine that (a) protects the site from comment spam, and (b) allows you good folks add your thoughts without having to go through the registration process. So far, Drupal looks like the most promising option, but I've had to hold off on any sort of implementation for technical reasons. (Its creators seem not to have made things easy for people with usernames like mine. Or Bill O'Reilly's. Or Conan O'Brien's. Or ...) Anyway, if a feasible solution (that is, one I can understand) to my problem ever pops up in the Drupal support forum, I'll get to work on converting the site as soon as possible. Until then, I guess we're just gonna have to keep dancing with them that brung us.

--------

June 15, 2004

"Had we had the information that was necessary to stop an attack, I'd have stopped the attack." [Emph. added.]

President Bush, speaking yesterday on the subject of 9-11, and conjuring images worthy of Hollywood crowd-pleasers like Independence Day and Air Force One.

--------

According to the WaPo's Dana Milbank, our president "seems to have developed a powerful obsession with asphalt." (Second item.)

--------

Finally, the field guys are starting to get a little respect.

POSTSCRIPT: A little background.... Of course, this is nothing new; it's basically an outgrowth of the whole "mass customization" trend in manufacturing and marketing. Start reading about it here.

UPDATE: More on the resurgence of personalized campaigning here. (Via PoliticsOnline.)

--------

Matt Yglesias says that we Democrats should be wary of a Specter loss in PA today because "the country needs two non-psychotic parties expressing different visions of the national interest, not one party for crazy people and another one for the rest of us." And normally I'd be the first to endorse that kind of sensible, moderate thinking.

But I still remember 1993. That was the year Arlen Specter joined every one of his Republican colleagues in voting against Bill Clinton's first budget -- an act of sheer partisan insanity that's as breathtaking today as it was then. Arlen Specter had been begging for a budget like that one for a decade. And yet, when the fiscal chips were down, he lacked the intestinal fortitude to stand up to the lunatics in his caucus who hoped to strangle the Clinton presidency in its crib.

Well, sorry, but I just can't forget that vote. It was the final nail in the coffin of sane, bipartisan legislating in Washington, and Arlen Specter was one of the folks happily swinging a hammer. So, if he goes down today, he goes down. The GOP won't get any crazier -- it will just get a man who actually believes in the nutty votes he's casting.

UPDATE: Specter Ekes Out Win in Pa. Primary (AP)

--------

As always, Mark Kleiman and Matt Yglesias make powerful arguments, but I'm afraid I'm just not going to be able to stop worrying and love the nuclear power plant next door until somebody convinces me that (a) it isn't a complex system, (b) that complex systems aren't inevitably faced with cascading failures, and (c) that cascading failures don't make catastrophic accidents as unavoidable as my Aunt Louella at Christmastime.

In other words, just show me why normal accident theory is wrong, or doesn't apply here. (Which shouldn't be all that difficult, really, since my understanding of it is basically limited to what little I can recall from an old New Yorker piece.) Then I'll be with you all the way, guys. Seriously.

POSTSCRIPT: Kevin Drum has more.

FURTHER READING: Here for my side of the argument, and here (I assume) for theirs.

--------

Washingtonienne's got nothing on this guy.

--------

In his typically halting search for encomiums to heap upon the late George Tenet yesterday, President Bush struggled mightily and produced a "resolute," followed by three incantations of the word "strong." Which is fine, I suppose, but also revealing in a way. You'll note that the soon-to-be-former DCI wasn't, say, "effective." And he certainly wasn't (heaven forfend!) "smart."

Which brings me to my point: Why is it that so many of the Churchill-worshipers in the GOP laud the firm and resolute aspects of the Last Lion's character, but largely ignore his equally admirable qualities of discernment and intellectual rigor? After all, Neville Chamberlain was pretty damned firm and resolute about appeasing Hitler. In fact, like Mr. Bush in Iraq, he pursued his feckless vision with such consistency and vigor that one might suspect he was primarily interested in testing the veracity of that old literary conceit about a fool persisting in his folly to become wise. No, Mr. Chamberlain's problem wasn't that he was insufficiently resolute. It was that he was wrong. While Churchill, as events would soon (and tragically) demonstrate, was dead right. So why not admire the perspicacity as well as the cojones? And maybe, just maybe, consider hiring a foreign policy team with its share of both?

Not likely, I know. But isn't it pretty to think so?

NOTE: If you only saw or read an edited version of President Bush's remarks, you may find my assessment ("typically halting") a bit harsh. Trust me. It's not.

--------

Many of us have been rather single-mindedly focused in recent days on this administration's apparently endless willingness to distort, mislead and obfuscate with regard to its Iraq policy. Today, NYT columnist Paul Krugman helpfully reminds us that their MO is no different on the domestic front.

--------

The long-promised migration from Xaraya to Drupal is almost here, which means that you'll once again be able to leave comments without registering with the site. Look for the changeover sometime later today.

UPDATE (6/15 -- 7:13 AM): Murphy's law strikes again. I'll try to have the new site up and running by this time tomorrow.

--------

In a typically penetrating example of neocon reasoning, L. Gordon Crovitz argues in this morning's WSJ that Israel's successful 1981 destruction of Saddam's nuclear reactor at Osirak was just the same as President Bush's WMD snipe hunt in Iraq today. (Via James Joyner.)

--------

I was just sitting down here at Jack O'Toole World Headquarters to pick a nit with one of Atrios' posts when it suddenly occurred to me that I've never mentioned the guy when I wasn't picking a nit. You'd almost think I didn't agree with about 99% of what he writes.

So there'll be no DLC-style nitpicking today. Just a link. And a long overdue tip of the hat to a fierce fellow Democrat and a first class blogger.

--------

Kevin Drum takes a long, hard look at a group of GOP activists that's truly committed. Or should be, anyway.

--------

"Hasn't anybody got the guts to accuse the worst perpetrator in this whole Abu Ghraib prison debacle - CBS and 60 Minutes II?

"What do you call it when, in time of war, someone takes military intelligence and turns it over to the enemy, who in turn uses it to kill Americans?

"Isn't that the definition of treason? Did Benedict Arnold do worse? Did Julias [sic] and Ethel Rosenberg pay with their lives for something like this? [...]

"For me, CBS has become 'the enemy within', and I hope never to watch the network again. I think most Americans ought to reflect on the results of their irresponsible and unpatriotic behavior and perhaps narrow their viewing options by one network. The next time America or Americans suffer at the hands of terrorists, thank CBS."

-- Singer Pat Boone, on 60 Minutes II's decision to run the now infamous photos from Abu Ghraib prison.

--------

I expect be tied up for most of the day building a campaign blog for a friend who's running for the SC House. Look for new posts here on the site tonight or tomorrow morning.

UPDATE 6/1: Like Topsy, that project just grow'd. Regular blogging resumes today.

--------

I keep hearing the suggestion from my Republican friends that recent Democratic criticisms of this president's Iraq policy are really nothing more than a cynical admixture of 20/20 hindsight and election-year politics. So I thought this might be a good time to remind people of precisely what we Democrats (in this case, then-Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Joe Biden) were saying in early 2003, well before the first boot hit the ground in Iraq. [Note: The Hardball with Chris Matthews transcript quoted below leaves a great deal to be desired, but what's a simple blogger to do?]

MATTHEWS: Senator Biden, a big question, a lot of people, and you know more than I know, you know a lot and you probably can’t tell us, but it looks like we might be going to war next month, that’s February, late in the month. What evidence do you need to see from the president that will say to you as the representative of this state, we’ve got to go to war.

BIDEN: I’ve seen the evidence the president has. What I think we have to do is make sure that we go to war, if we go to war, with the support of the United Nations and the reason for that is not that we’d need them to win the war, but we need them for the decade after the war. Most people don’t realize this is going to cost us tens of billions of dollars.

Mark my words; we’re going to have somewhere between 75 and 100,000 American forces in Iraq for a minimum of three to five years. Initially the president said, no, that won’t be it. Now his military is saying at least 18 months. People-look, the thing-one thing I learned from-when I was here at the university during the Vietnam era is that no matter how well formulated the foreign policy, it cannot be sustained without the informed consent of the American people. [...]

MATTHEWS: The commander in chief thanks to the votes of many Democratic senators and Republicans, including yours, has the authority to decide this without your approval. He can simply sign the provisions of the resolution passed by the United States Senate last fall that he can take any actions which protects U.S. security vis-a-vis Iraq. Can he, do you believe politically, make this move without the support of the United Nations? Can he go it alone?

BIDEN: He can, but he shouldn’t.

MATTHEWS: Does he know that?

BIDEN: I think he does because, remember, — do you remember-I literally remember talking about this on your show. Everybody was saying we’re going to go to war last summer. Because remember Rumsfeld said we would not go to the United Nations. We would not go to Congress. That is when I held all those hearings, remember, and remember the polling data started to change and then Dick Lugar.

And I were beginning to work very closely with the president, trying to make the case that Paul was making to him. The president has made the right decisions, although sometimes belatedly, to do it the right way, and that is under international consensus. That’s a wise way to go and not because we couldn’t do it by ourselves, but because after the fact, we do not want to inherit the wind.

I just came from northern Iraq. I’m one of only two United States senators, Congress or anybody, who has ever been up there. Let me tell you something. This is going to be like putting Humpty Dumpty back together again. There is a town called Mosel (ph) where all the oil is. Guess what? They’ve been trying to Arabize it, kicking all the Kurds out for the last 20 years. Guess what? The Kurds want back. This is going to make (UNINTELLIGIBLE) look like a picnic. I don’t want us inheriting all that ourselves.

But Saddam Hussein, if we leave him unfettered, leave him unfettered for another five years, he will with that billion, $200 billion a year, have a nuclear capacity. This is a guy, remember now, this is a guy who started a war of aggression. He got beat after crossing the border and doing damage to another independent country.

The condition for him staying in power, the treaty in effect he signed with the whole world was he would get rid of his nuclear weapons. Now what do you say in the future if, in fact, we, the world, do not enforce that? What do you and I say? It’s just like you sign a peace agreement. You clearly violate it. The whole world knows it and you are doing bad things. Now, what’s the deal here? The deal is this is the world’s problem. We should be smart enough to keep it the world’s problem. And if we keep it the world’s problem, we’ll get this done the right way. [...]

STUDENT: What kind of foreign policy would you have for 2004 if you were the president?

BIDEN: If I were the new president’s secretary of state, I would be talking about being strong enough to engage the rest of the world. I would have, for example, in Afghanistan, not told the Germans, who risked their election on providing for troops to go to Afghanistan, stiff arm them, say we don’t need them. I would include people. I would make sure that we — look, if we ask people around the world to join us when we have a serious issue at stake and it’s less serious for them, we have to be prepared to understand when things are more important to us but more important to them.

We should respond. The middle east, big problem for a whole lot of the world. Kyoto, a big problem for a whole lot of the world. All these issues that we sort of summarily dismiss and say, look, we write the agenda, that’s it. We should always be prepared to go it alone if our national interest is at stake. But there is the ability to lead and part of leading is leading the world, leading people to join us.

See? The criticisms and cautions above are entirely consistent with what we're hearing from Biden and the Dems today. Not to mention pretty damned prescient. In fact, this president's failure to learn anything from the folks who actually knew what they were talking about before the war makes it more than a little difficult to square Mr. Bush's current and rather strenuous reelection efforts with his longstanding (and quite correct) opposition to the whole idea of social promotion.

POSTSCRIPT: And as long as we're engaged in a little friendly score-keeping anyway, this might also be a good time to review Biden's Brookings speech from July of last year.

FULL DISCLOSURE: Yes, I was the guy behind the remarkably ineffective Draft Biden for President website.

--------

State Superintendent* of Education Inez Tenenbaum's surprisingly strong campaign to succeed retiring US Sen. Fritz Hollings (surprising to outsiders, at least; Inez did get more votes statewide in her last reelect than anyone else on the ballot) gets a little positive play in the stately pages of this morning's New York Times. And since we're mired in the bog of South Carolina politics at the moment anyway (a condition I generally try to avoid here on the blog in the interest of good taste), be sure to check out Statehouse Report publisher Andy Brack's recent column on the political difficulties (which, unsurprisingly somehow, appear to include a possible primary challenge, an almost quixotic attachment to legislative lost causes, and, well, pig poop) facing our state's liked, but not well liked governor, Mark Sanford.

* In its original form, this post incorrectly identified Ms. Tenenbaum as the state's "secretary" of education. My apologies to all concerned.

UPDATE: And speaking of candidates, I've been meaning to mention this for some time now: If you're running for office and your web vendor tries to sell you a website with question marks in its URLs (www.mysite.com/index.php?whatever), explain that you are paying for -- and expect to receive -- interior pages that Google can and will index. You'll find a comprehensive discussion of the issue here.

--------

In perhaps the least surprising political development since President Bush decided to get his moral mojo working with an election-year announcement that the hate that dare not speak its name needs to be written into the US Constitution, the New York Times has discovered that Bill Clinton -- get this now -- would like to help John Kerry's presidential campaign. And, scoundrel that the man is, he's planning to use his book tour to do it.

My God. Public relations in a book tour. Next thing you know, the Times will find avarice in the boardroom. Or politics in the redistricting process. Or vanity in blogging. Or....

--------

RIP, Mr. President.

--------

In 1994, when Phil Noble asked me to help him develop a new technologies assessment division for his polical consulting firm in order to try to figure out what impact that Internet thing was going to have on campaigns and elections (a project that eventually grew into the company, PoliticsOnline), it didn't take us long to reach the inescapable conclusion that a revolution was on the way.

Well, folks, lemme tell ya, it's almost one-if-by-land time and two-if-by-sea time. Because the redcoats are definitely coming.

POSTSCRIPT: On a semi-related note, Ben Katz of CompleteCampaigns.com was nice enough to send along some advice about the blog engine issue. Like Phil, Ben was a very early player in the Internet and politics space -- not to mention one of the smartest. You can learn all about Ben and the software and services his company offers here.

NOTE (1/27/05): NYT link above updated to reflect the article's current address.

--------

"Unlike Bush, Reagan was a man of ideas, an intellectual, a man who had thought long and hard about the world and developed keen ideas about what was needed to fix its problems. So he was able to argue, to make a case, to concede a point, to embrace a synthesis. President Bush, alas, can only make a case - in words given him by others. I have never witnessed him in public acknowledge an opposing argument or think on his feet. Those aren't his strengths. But they sure were Reagan's."

-- Journalist and blogger Andrew Sullivan, in today's Daily Dish.

--------

Shorter John Kerry: More troops, more allies, more common sense. Paid for with less missile defense.

POSTSCRIPT: Look to Wonkette for further analysis of that whole backdoor draft thing....

UPDATE (10:07 AM): Heh.

--------

A few friendly factoids for one of my blogging betters:

  • Number of Democratic presidents since the end of WWII: 5
  • Number of reelected Democratic presidents since the end of WWII: 1
  • Number of reelected Democratic presidents since the end of WWII who never served as chairman of the Democratic Leadership Council: 0

With those facts in mind, I hope you'll forgive me, Brother Kos, if I hold off just a bit on RSVPing that DLC necktie party you're putting together.

POSTSCRIPT: For the record, I'm not attacking Kos here, just defending my party's presidential nominee; after all, the man is a charter member of the Senate New Democrat Coalition.

--------

A longtime friend gently tells Sec. Rumsfeld that it's time to step down.

--------

"It serves notice to Chafee, Snowe, Voinovich and others who have been problem children that they will be next."

-- The Club for Growth's Stephen Moore, on the $2 million his group spent trying to replace moderate Republican Sen. Arlen Specter with conservative Rep. Pat Toomey in Tuesday's PA primary.

--------

Here's the New York Times this morning quoting former Reagan speechwriter Peter Robinson in an article about Secretary of State Colin Powell:

"The only thing a government worker really needs to fear," he [Robinson] said in an interview, "is making a mistake so big and so public that he can become that rarest of objects, a government worker fired for cause."

What struck me about that quote was how utterly gratuitous it was in the context of the larger piece -- which was, after all, about neither GOP speechwriters nor public employees. I guess we've simply grown so thoroughly inured to the casual denigration of federal workers that the editors of the New York Times didn't even think twice about letting a GOP operative use the Gray Lady's pages to hurl a little cheap snark in their direction. Really, it's quite astonishing when you stop and think about it.

You know, I'm beginning to think that those of us on the left and center-left should consider updating that old conservative line about cops and hippies. Maybe our version could go something like this: The next time a terrorist hijacks your plane, call a smart-mouthed Republican apparatchik.

--------

Another strong supporter of the Iraq war realizes that President Bush is the wrong man to lead it:

Tom Friedman: It is time to ask this question: Do we have any chance of succeeding at regime change in Iraq without regime change here at home?

"Hey, Friedman, why are you bringing politics into this all of a sudden? You're the guy who always said that producing a decent outcome in Iraq was of such overriding importance to the country that it had to be kept above politics."

Yes, that's true. I still believe that. My mistake was thinking that the Bush team believed it, too. I thought the administration would have to do the right things in Iraq — from prewar planning and putting in enough troops to dismissing the secretary of defense for incompetence — because surely this was the most important thing for the president and the country. But I was wrong. There is something even more important to the Bush crowd than getting Iraq right, and that's getting re-elected and staying loyal to the conservative base to do so. It has always been more important for the Bush folks to defeat liberals at home than Baathists abroad. That's why they spent more time studying U.S. polls than Iraqi history. That is why, I'll bet, Karl Rove has had more sway over this war than Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Bill Burns. Mr. Burns knew only what would play in the Middle East. Mr. Rove knew what would play in the Middle West.

The rest is here.

--------

New York Times: "If the Pentagon could build a training ground that would incorporate all the perils of urban warfare, it would look very much like the city the marines may have to invade: Falluja."

--------

Slate's Dahlia Lithwick explains why it all depends on what the meaning of 'it' is.

--------

Exactly.

--------

Unsurprisingly, Political Animal Kevin Drum's analysis of today's Washington Post article on America's Red-Blue divide is right on the mark:

Kevin Drum: It's a vicious circle. As people become more polarized, they seek out their soulmates and this polarizes them even further. This in turn causes politicians to realize that they need to appeal to the poles in order to win, so they ratchet up the rhetoric. In the end, voters force politicians to extremes, and politicians eagerly feed the beast to get elected — and the circle is completed.

About all I'd add is a mild criticism of the WaPo piece itself, which for some reason rather conspicuously fails to note the elephant (or, if you prefer, the donkey) in the room once it gets about the business of trying to explain how and why we reached this point: namely, the continuing democratization of American politics.

Replacing the party bosses and smoke-filled rooms of the past with open primaries and sunshine laws has basically given us what we wanted -- a cleaner, more responsive kind of politics. But, as any citizen of a parliamentary democracy could tell you, responsive politics tends to be polarized politics. That's the trade-off. And it's one that most people can live with, I think. The real question now is whether and when the institutions in Washington, which seem to be growing more dysfunctional with each election, will begin to figure out how to govern effectively in this increasingly partis--, er, responsive environment.

UPDATE: James Joyner has more Red-Blue here.

--------

If you're familiar with phrases like "spent hours on the phone with customer service," and "just finished reformatting my hard drive for the fourth time," you've got a pretty good idea of what the last two days have been like here at Jack O'Toole World Headquarters. Fun, fun, fun.

So please know that I'm sorry about the dearth of new posts since Friday, and that I'm working feverishly (or at least in a fashion that passes for feverish in these parts) to solve the problem.

See you soon. I hope.

UPDATE 5/03: Okay, things seem to be back to normal, aside from some lost data, which I'll be trying to retrieve this afternoon. (No, I didn't have everything backed up the way I should have -- and, as is so often the case, there's a price to be paid for that kind of carelessness and stupidity.) Look for regular posting to resume later today or in the wee hours tomorrow.

--------

First, Josh Marshall catches the CPA web team loving Brookings' site design not wisely but too well. Now Reuters has this:

Iraq's U.S.-led authorities are telling anyone who wants information about risks in the violence-torn country to seek it elsewhere.

"For security reasons, there are no security reports," says the weekly reports section of the Coalition Provisional Authority website.

LINK: Don't ask about Iraq security -- it's too risky

--------

I have to get a couple of projects out the door this morning, so I probably won't be blogging much until sometime this afternoon.

See you then.

UPDATE: Um, better make that sometime overnight or first thing in the morning.

--------

A quick look at this morning's headlines answers the question I raised yesterday: Are the Kerry folks "tough enough" to go toe-to-toe with the Republicans? Well, yes, as a matter of fact, they are.

But the next question, which yesterday's brawl points up perfectly, is even more important: How much longer can we get away with offering essentially disconnected criticisms of Mr. Bush and his administration while the other side is going directly at John Kerry with a coherent message about his character and policies that, if communicated effectively, will make our guy unelectable? How much longer can we play checkers while they're playing chess?

I don't pretend to know exactly what our negative critique should be. But I do know that you can't unseat a president without one. And I'm beginning to wonder whether waiting until the convention to unveil ours -- which I suspect is the current plan -- is really the wisest course. (At this point in 1980, for example, I already knew that Jimmy Carter was "weak." And by this time in '92, I knew that George Bush, Sr. was "out of touch" -- that he just didn't understand or care about the lives of people like me. What, thematically speaking, is wrong with this President Bush? I really couldn't tell you.)

Rather than trying to tie this post up in a bow by speculating on what our critique could or should be, I'm going to leave it open in the hope of encouraging a conversation. Why, in just a sentence or two, does Mr. Bush deserve to be sent packing? What's wrong with this guy? And, most importantly, how does that assessment play into the perceptions that the American people already harbor about him? Use comments or e-mail to let me know what you think.

POSTSCRIPT: Yes, there is one critique that's already out there -- namely, that GWB just isn't smart enough to be president. But if you're going to recommend it, you have to explain why that theme hasn't worked so far, and why we should expect it to be effective in the future.

--------

So I'm scrolling through the headlines in my newsreader, and I see this: Uri Geller Aims to Stop ABC Baby-Adoption TV Show. And the first thought that pops into my head is something along the lines of, My God, have we really reached the point where a celebrity spoon-bender has better taste than the men and women who control the public airwaves?

Silly me. Turns out, he's suing because he thinks they stole his idea.

UPDATE: Barbara Walters explains that the show isn't really tasteless; ABC just wants you to think it is....

--------

Conservative columnist George Will has come to the conclusion that the Bush administration is fundamentally out of touch with reality.

--------

The good folks over at TalkLeft have already exceeded their bandwidth allotment for the month of April, and they'd appreciate your help defraying the additional costs associated with that mixed blessing. So, if you can swing a few bucks for a worthy cause, you know what to do.

--------

The vicious, cowardly and unspeakably cruel murder of Nick Berg didn't happen because a few pictures ran on 60 Minutes II. It happened because there are some profoundly evil people running around loose in Iraq, and this administration refused to give our military the troops it needed to kill or capture them. Period. End of story. And we Democrats need to quit pussyfooting around, and start making this painful truth crystal clear to the American people.

--------

My lovely wife and I plan to celebrate our anniversary this year by pumping (Hey, you in the back -- get your mind out of the gutter!) some heretofore unthinkable amount of money into the gas tank and slipping the surly bonds of South Carolina. I'll have the laptop along, but expect blogging to be light until the middle of next week.

--------

AP: "Bush administration lawyers are advising the Pentagon not to publicly release any more photographs of Iraqi prisoners being abused by U.S. soldiers, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said at the outset of a hastily arranged visit to Iraq aimed at containing the abuse scandal."

Jesus, maybe this guy's on to something.

--------

After watching the Sunday shows, I really feel obligated to offer a bit of free communications advice to the folks who are out there trying to defend Secretary Rumsfeld this morning: It's fine to say that he shouldn't be fired because he's won two wars. And it's equally fine to say he shouldn't be fired because we're in the middle of two wars. But when you say both at the same time, you just sound dumb as dogsh -- excuse me -- you almost sound as if you don't realize that you're making mutually exclusive arguments. So cut it out.

--------

As a semi-retired flack (and, as always, for what it's worth -- which is probably about what you're paying for it), here's my best guess as to why Rummy still has an office in the Pentagon this Sunday morning: The first group of images from Abu Ghraib has produced a serious, though not quite life-threatening, fever for the administration. But the next group, which, according to GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham, will include photos and video depicting the rape and murder of detainees, is almost guaranteed to push the mercury right through the top of the thermometer. And since Rumsfeld's resignation is the only dose of aspirin this administration currently has in its PR bag-o-tricks, they can't afford to waste it while the patient is still stable. So look for Rummy to go as soon as the other shoe drops -- and the administration's temperature starts to spike into critical territory.

--------

Carla and I had a lovely time in Savannah, and I've just about managed to clear off the pile of stuff that built up on my desk while we were away. I'll try to catch up on the news -- shockingly bad for the most part, I guess -- in the next few hours, and get back to blogging sometime later today.

--------

Why deny the obvious? Today's ABCNEWS story alleging that John Kerry told a TV interviewer in 1971 that he threw away his medals during an anti-war protest could be very damaging, whether it ultimately turns out to be accurate or not. (Kaus quite rightly makes the point that the only version of the quote we have seen so far includes a suspicious set of brackets around the word 'I'.) But every campaign has to deal with stories like this at some point, stories that have the potential to do real and lasting damage because they play directly into the other guy's negative message about you. (The Bush campaign, after all, just spent fifty million dollars telling America that John Kerry is an untrustworthy flip-flopper, and according to this AP article, at least some of that message stuck.)

So the real question this morning -- the one that matters to me, anyway -- isn't what John Kerry said or didn't say on a chat show thirty years ago. It's whether his campaign as currently constructed is tough enough to push back, and smart enough to do it quickly and effectively. Either way, we should have a pretty definitive answer in the next day or two. (Kaus link via Glenn Reynolds.)

--------

Since I'm now using Xaraya to handle the back end of this blog, I don't really have a dog in the Movable Type 3.0 pricing fight. But it is kinda interesting to watch....

--------

It looks like those elitist, big-government-loving Democrats are at it again.

NEW ORLEANS (Reuters) - A Louisiana state legislator is trying to outlaw a violent spectator sport: fights pitting vicious dogs against wild hogs.

Rep. Warren Triche, a Democrat from Thibodaux, has introduced a bill that would ban the bloodiest forms of "hog-doggin," as the pig-versus-canine duels are known in the rural corners of his state.

"My motivation is that it is an absolute cruelty, and damned well sadistic," Triche told Reuters in an interview on Wednesday.

And, yes, in case you were wondering, there's stiff opposition to the bill in the LA Senate.

--------

Via Cory Doctorow, the Canadian Green Party Platform wiki.

MORE: SitePoint answers the question, "What is a Wiki?"

--------

Via Ogged, Michael Kinsley's mordant take on "every liberal's favorite conservative," David Brooks.

POSTSCRIPT: From bashful offerings to absolute power to the potential pitfalls of solitary penance, Ogged blogs it all. Just start at the top and keep reading.

--------

I'm about to head out for a doctor's appointment, so I don't have time to put together a full post on George and Don's Excellent Pentagon Adventure, but as soon as I get a chance, I'll let you know why I think it was quite possibly the most poorly thought-out election year move since some bright guy looked around and said, "Man, wouldn't Gov. Dukakis look good in that tank over there?"

--------

I generally avoid lengthy quotes from outside sources here on the blog, but, in this case, I'm going to make an exception. Here's pro-war moderate Fareed Zakaria, on the stomach-churning stew of arrogance, incompetence and moral blindness that this administration has proudly -- yes, proudly -- served up to the American people and the world since 9/11:

"I take full responsibility," said Donald Rumsfeld in his congressional testimony last week. But what does this mean? Secretary Rumsfeld hastened to add that he did not plan to resign and was not going to ask anyone else who might have been "responsible" to resign. As far as I can tell, taking responsibility these days means nothing more than saying the magic words "I take responsibility."

After the greatest terrorist attack against America, no one was asked to resign, and the White House didn't even want to launch a serious investigation into it. The 9/11 Commission was created after months of refusals because some of the victims' families pursued it aggressively and simply didn't give up. After the fiasco over Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, not one person was even reassigned. The only people who have been fired or cashiered in this administration are men like Gen. Eric Shinseki, Paul O'Neill and Larry Lindsey, who spoke inconvenient truths. [...]

The basic attitude taken by Rumsfeld, Cheney and their top aides has been "We're at war; all these niceties will have to wait." As a result, we have waged pre-emptive war unilaterally, spurned international cooperation, rejected United Nations participation, humiliated allies, discounted the need for local support in Iraq and incurred massive costs in blood and treasure. If the world is not to be trusted in these dangerous times, key agencies of the American government, like the State Department, are to be trusted even less. Congress is barely informed, even on issues on which its "advise and consent" are constitutionally mandated.

Leave process aside: the results are plain. On almost every issue involving postwar Iraq—troop strength, international support, the credibility of exiles, de-Baathification, handling Ayatollah Ali Sistani—Washington's assumptions and policies have been wrong. By now most have been reversed, often too late to have much effect. This strange combination of arrogance and incompetence has not only destroyed the hopes for a new Iraq. It has had the much broader effect of turning the United States into an international outlaw in the eyes of much of the world.

Whether he wins or loses in November, George W. Bush's legacy is now clear: the creation of a poisonous atmosphere of anti-Americanism around the globe. I'm sure he takes full responsibility.

Read the rest of Zakaria's discussion of the responsibility-evading, didn't-serve-when-they-could've, phony-tough boy-men in and around this White House here.

POSTSCRIPT: If I sound a little miffed, it's because I am. Like all occupants of 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., these people are renters, not owners, and the unique territory this nation has occupied for generations in the hearts and dreams of men and women the world over -- sacred ground earned in part by the hard work and principled leadership of a long line of Democratic and Republican presidents alike -- wasn't theirs to trash just because an Electoral College fluke denied the man who got the most votes in 2000 his opportunity to serve in the Oval Office. And it is that willful, deeply disturbing violation of America's promise, that cynical shock-and-awe attack on the "shining city on a hill" that Ronald Reagan once spoke of so movingly, that will, more than anything else, cost George W. Bush and his regents and hangers-on the White House in 2004.

It couldn't happen to a better group of guys. Boy-guys, anyway.

--------

"[Sen. James] Inhofe's America is one that is glutted on pretension, cut free from all its moral ballast, and hungry to sit atop a world run only by violence. Lady Liberty gets left with fifty bucks, a sneer, a black eye, and the room to herself for the couple hours left before check out."

-- Journalist and blogger Josh Marshall, reacting to Sen. Inhofe's "shameful" comments excusing the torture and humiliation of detainees at Abu Ghraib prison during Tuesday's Senate Armed Services Committee hearing.

--------

According to Reuters, another cardinal has announced that he favors denying communion to any Roman Catholic politician who publicly supports the rights enshrined in the US Constitution as interpreted by our Supreme Court.

"In remarks that could influence the U.S. presidential race, a leading Vatican cardinal said on Friday that a politician who is unambiguously in favor of abortion should be denied communion at Mass."

The issue has sparked debate in the United States over Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry, a Roman Catholic who supports abortion rights.

Cardinal Francis Arinze, the top Vatican cardinal in charge of the sacraments, was asked at a news conference whether priests should refuse communion to a politician who is unambiguously pro-abortion.

"Yes," he replied. "If the person should not receive it, then it should not be given. Objectively, the answer is there."

Okay, two quick points. First, let me just note for the record that it's pretty insulting when the people who brought us the term "Jesuitical casuistry" suddenly start pretending that the distinction between supporting abortion and supporting abortion rights is somehow beyond their ken.

And second, given the Church's long and painful history on a whole of range of constitutionally guaranteed freedoms -- from the right to free speech to the protection against cruel and unusual punishment -- the Vatican might want to think long and hard before it instructs American Catholics to put not their faith in Supreme Court justices. Frankly, it may not like the answer it gets back.

--------

Several folks have written in to ask why blogging has been so light for the past couple of days, and the answer is as sad as it is simple: the unfathomable dysfunction and incompetence of this administration has finally left me just about speechless.

Look, I wanted to like this President Bush, and after 9/11 I wanted to support his administration. That's why I suspended my better judgment and got behind this disaster in Iraq. (Well, that and the fact that we were lied to about WMD -- a charge that I was unwilling to level until a fairly careful reading of Woodward's book last weekend convinced me that no other interpretation was possible.) But things have changed now, and, for the good of the country, a radical course correction is required. And since November is still a long way off, the place to start is in the office of the secretary of defense.

Now, obviously, I don't know whether Sec. Rumsfeld bears any direct responsibility for the human rights violations at Abu Ghraib prison. In fact, I doubt he does. But, frankly, we've reached a point in this mess where that no longer matters, where the national interest simply has to trump personal fairness -- a principle that any man whose job involves sending kids halfway around the world to get shot at should well understand, and be prepared to act upon.

Put simply, Don Rumsfeld has to resign. And soon.

--------

I'm not going to waste your time this morning rehashing all the arguments that I (and others) have made in the past about why it's so criminally stupid for Democrats to pick unnecessary and deeply divisive fights with the millions upon millions of decent, hardworking Americans who take their religion seriously.

Instead, I'll simply point you to this recent post by the normally spot-on Atrios, and ask you to consider the following two sentences contained therein:

(1) I'm not hostile to religion.
(2) My retinas still burn with the image of the members of Congress on the steps of the Capitol screeching out "UNDER GOD" while performing the pledge of allegiance.

Burning retinas? Screeching out? Nope, no hostility there....

POSTSCRIPT 1: Please don't misunderstand me; I actually agree with much of what Atrios has to say in his post. Which is precisely why I get so frustrated when we Democrats insist on cloaking perfectly reasonable points about matters religious in needlessly insulting and/or inflammatory rhetoric.

POSTSCRIPT 2: This post probably seems a little jarring (psychotic?) given the tone of its immediate predecessor. But there's a difference between picking unnecessary (and all too often unfocused) fights with religion generally and engaging in a spirited debate with the leadership of your own church, as Kevin Drum pointed out just the other day.

UPDATE: Allen Brill responds to Atrios' post here.

UPDATE 2: In the comments (and demonstrating the accuracy of my "normally spot-on" assessment, by the way), Atrios points out that the UNDER GOD incident to which he referred in his post was particularly egregious. And, indeed, it was. On the other hand, the vast majority of religious folk didn't see it, and wouldn't remember it if they had. (Those of us who care deeply about these issues too often assume that we're all swimming in the same media stream, and, unfortunately, that just couldn't be further from the truth.) All they would see in Atrios' post, I'm afraid, was the unmistakable anger, apparently directed at them. Which is essentially the point that I was trying (perhaps clumsily) to make above.

--------

As much as I like Oliver Willis's blog, I have to say I share Ezra Klein's puzzlement over Oliver's recent assertion that a reimposition of the draft here in America would somehow be "immoral."

Now, there are plenty of profoundly immoral things in this old world -- everything from homicide, to hunger, to the new Law and Order spinoff that's slouching toward Burbank even as we speak. But conscription in a democratic republic like ours just isn't one of them. In fact, it's probably the only truly moral way for a free people to go about the business of determining who does and doesn't get shot at when the majority has decided that it wants or needs to impose its will on another nation by force of arms.

I'd actually like to go on a bit here, but since I'm already in the process of putting together a larger post on all this -- egalitarianism, civic liberalism, call it what you will -- for publication sometime in the next week or so, I'll wait. In the meantime, to get a fuller sense of why I disagree with Oliver (as well as where I'll be going with the post), read this brief review of Mickey Kaus's rightly celebrated 1992 book, The End of Equality.

POSTSCRIPT: As always, we tease because we love. The sad truth is that my TV life seems to have come down to newsy chat shows, the occasional movie, and an endless procession of L&O reruns.

Now do you see where I find the time to blog?

--------

Jeff Jarvis is looking for feedback on the trade association idea that grew out of last weekend's Bloggercon.

--------

So I'm watching the overnight re-air of Hardball with Chris Matthews, and Ken Adelman, the gentleman who famously assured us in February of 2002 that toppling Saddam would be a "cakewalk," is trying to explain that he was just referring to the first part -- you know, winning the war. Not actually, well, occupying the country or anything. No, no, that is not what he meant, at all.

The scary part is that I've just about reached the point where I believe him; the neocons apparently really never did have a war plan that went beyond marching to Baghdad, knocking the tyrant from his throne, and then turning, with a certain superpower elan, to graciously accept the heartfelt thanks of a grateful Iraqi people. And these folks, remember, are supposed to be the tough guys, the hard-headed realists, on the American foreign policy scene.

Balls.

POSTSCRIPT: No transcript yet, but when it's available, you'll find it here.

--------

The truth? You can't handle the truth....

Woman loses her job over coffins photo A military contractor has fired Tami Silicio, a Kuwait-based cargo worker whose photograph of flag-draped coffins of fallen U.S. soldiers was published in Sunday's edition of The Seattle Times.

Silicio was let go yesterday for violating U.S. government and company regulations, said William Silva, president of Maytag Aircraft, the contractor that employed Silicio at Kuwait International Airport. [...]

Maytag also fired David Landry, a co-worker who recently wed Silicio.

Via Whatever.

--------

AI's Jane Galt, whose work I generally enjoy a great deal, has an interesting post up today on the subject of health care costs and outcomes. And what makes it interesting, to me at least, is the fact that there isn't a single statistic in it. Not one. Zip. Nada, mi amigo, as our president would no doubt say.

Did I mention that this was a post about health care costs and outcomes?

Now, I'll be the first to say that reliable numbers in this area can be hard to come by. And when you do manage to find them, they're often contradictory, confusing, or suspect in some way. But, really, if you're going to argue, for instance, that the US health care system is being unfairly judged vis a vis those of other nations because of the unique generosity of our tort system, something a little more precise than "much, much much more generous" would probably be helpful. And if you're going to go on to suggest that the surprisingly high infant mortality rate in the US is, in no small measure, due to our heroic efforts to keep doomed preemies alive, then you might consider shooting for a bit more specificity than "many of them" when discussing the death rate for these tragic souls.

I don't mean to sound testy, but, honestly, I just don't know how we're supposed to have any kind of a productive debate about health care in this country as long as the folks who are generally satisfied with the current system insist on policy-making by rhetorical flourish. We say that 43 million Americans lack health insurance, and they say that markets are good. We say that diminished health and shorter life spans for uninsured Americans cost the US economy at least $65 billion a year, and they say creeping socialism. We say that 18,000 Americans die unnecessarily every year because they lack basic health coverage, and they say -- hell, I dunno -- they say their Aunt Gertie Mae has boils.

--------

Tell me again why it's okay to eliminate the estate tax? Oh, yeah, I remember now.... Because entrenched privilege just isn't an issue in this day and age.

At prestigious universities around the country, from flagship state colleges to the Ivy League, more and more students from upper-income families are edging out those from the middle class, according to university data.

The change is fast becoming one of the biggest issues in higher education.

More members of this year's freshman class at the University of Michigan have parents making at least $200,000 a year than have parents making less than the national median of about $53,000, according to a survey of Michigan students. At the most selective private universities across the country, more fathers of freshmen are doctors than are hourly workers, teachers, clergy members, farmers or members of the military — combined. [...]

Over all, at the 42 most selective state universities, including the flagship campuses in California, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan and New York, 40 percent of this year's freshmen come from families making more than $100,000, up from about 32 percent in 1999, according to the Higher Education Research Institute. Nationwide, fewer than 20 percent of families make that much money.

Link: As Wealthy Fill Top Colleges, New Efforts to Level the Field

--------

I understand that selection means exclusion, but leaving Ned Racine off this list seems almost, well ... criminal. (Via Hit & Run.)

--------

"Boy this campaign is getting ugly ... Now some Republicans are suggesting John Kerry actually tried to win three Purple Hearts in Vietnam because he knew when he won three, he could get to go home early. What an easy way to get out of combat -- to let yourself get shot three times."
-- Jay Leno, The Tonight Show

--------

Well, yes, now that you mention it, it's probably fair to say that mistakes were made....

--------

Angry Bear: "Kerry just might have a little Brer Rabbit in him, and the Republicans were kind enough to toss him right into the briar patch."

--------

"Did we miss something? Have another reason John Kerry is wrong for your state? Tell us using the form below..."

--Instructions to users of the new Journeys With John feature at the GeorgeWBush.com website.

--------

In a post that's actually about something else entirely, Jesse Taylor writes that Instapundit's Glenn Reynolds "is pretty much antithetical to everything I find exciting and enlightening about blogs, including the link-quote-imploration template that makes me wonder why he doesn't just become MetaFilter's most prolific poster."

Which is fine, of course. We all have our likes and dislikes. But as an old campaign hack, I have to admit that one of the things that interests me about blogs is their utility as an instrument of political communication. And in that sense, Instapundit is pretty damned fascinating. Each and every day, Glenn quite skillfully uses his site to weave the right side of the blogosphere into a coherent, compelling whole, a narrative of conservative ideas and opinion. In short, a message. And despite our signal successes -- the professional-level political and policy analysis being done by some, the potent partisan anger that's bracingly channeled by others -- the left side of Blogdom still doesn't have anything quite like an Instapundit. And we suffer for it. Every day of the week.

POSTSCRIPT: Yes, Glenn sometimes links to sites on this side of the Blogosphere, including the one you're reading now. So you could certainly argue that, with this post, I'm (subconsciously, of course) doing precisely what Jesse decries above -- dragging myself through the over-educated streets at dawn looking for a not-so-angry fix of that crack cocaine of blogging, an Instalink. On the other hand, sometimes a blog post is just a blog post. You make the call.

POSTSCRIPT 2: Sorry about the way-tired crack cocaine of metaphor. But you know, I got started with that Ginsberg stuff, and had no place else to go....

NOTE: Revised 6/13.

--------

The Donald certainly has nothing on this guy:

Swaziland's King Mswati fired former Prime Minister Sibusiso Dlamini last year via a text message on his cellphone, enraged local lawmakers say.

"This was an embarrassment," said Magwagwa Mdluli, a former natural resources minister now serving in parliament.

Attorney General Phesheya Dlamini, reportedly acting on instructions from the king, sent Dlamini an SMS message in September informing him he was being replaced as part of a wider government shake-up ahead of parliamentary elections. [...]

Political analysts said many royal loyalists were shocked by the abrupt method used to dump the long-time prime minister, who had been a strong supporter of Mswati in his role as sub-Saharan Africa's last absolute monarch.

The rest, of course, is here.

--------

I finally got round to reading yesterday's Woodward excerpt on the Bush-Blair special relationship, and I have to say, I'm a little disappointed (though not terribly surprised, given the book's sourcing) that it does nothing to address what is, for me, perhaps the central mystery of the Iraq War: Why was the British PM so relentlessly gung-ho about this whole enterprise? What did he know, or think he knew, that we didn't -- and still don't -- about Saddam, the Americans, WMD ... whatever?

I've suspected for a long time now that we'll never know the real story of this war until we have gotten a satisfactory answer to that question -- and it looks like we still haven't.

[Full disclosure: I once inhabited a cubicle at a firm that did a little work with New Labour on communications issues. It was a long time ago, and gives my opinions in this area no additional credibility or heft.]

POSTSCRIPT: In fairness, it was an excerpt. Maybe there's more in the book.

--------

In today's New York Times, we learn that the NIMBY phenomenon is no longer exclusively a problem of decadent Western democracies:

In Saudi Arabia, a strategic ally of the United States, violence against the occupation in Iraq is seen by many as jihad, or a holy struggle, but virtually no one accepts violence as jihad when it unrolls here at home, in the heart of what is supposed to be the most Muslim of countries.

In Iraq, attacks by American troops serve as evidence to some that the United States occupation of a Muslim land must be reversed. Requests for God to avenge American actions pour down from mosque minarets, and some women university students sport Osama bin Laden T-shirts under their enveloping abayas to show their approval for his calls to resist the United States.

But many Saudis consider the attack here on Wednesday a shocking and unsettling crime, especially since the attackers chose for their first major government target an office building that virtually every adult male must visit to collect a license or car plates.

LINK: Saudis Support a Jihad in Iraq, Not Back Home

--------

So what does a man do when one of his blogging betters takes a subject he's been meaning to tackle, and wrestles it to the ground with an exceptionally cogent and well-crafted post?

Why, he shuts up and links, of course.

--------

I keep seeing press reports about the new presidential polls out this week with headlines such as, "Bush Surges Despite Bad News." And I've gotta tell ya, I'm starting to feel a little like Kevin Costner in JFK, when he looks at his team and dramatically informs them, "We're through the looking glass now, people."

The Bush campaign just got through putting fifty million dollars on television, folks. And Kerry's still within the margin of error in most polls. With that in mind, President Bush's current numbers aren't surprisingly good, they're surprisingly bad -- as I suspect our friends in the press will begin to realize as the race settles down over the next couple of weeks.

RELATED: You'll find a worthwhile (and somewhat amusing) discussion of margin of error issues here.

UPDATE: Ruy Teixeira, who knows more about reading polls than just about anybody on the face of the earth, thinks that the paid media probably had nothing to do with the Bush bump -- it was the press conference, he says.

UPDATE POSTSCRIPT: To which I feel obligated to offer the standard political consultant's response: Yup, I'm sure you're right. The ads were probably irrelevant. Still, you know ... every time somebody goes up, the numbers move....

--------

June 14, 2004

"You are going to be the proud owner of 25 million people. You will own all their hopes, aspirations and problems. You'll own it all."

--Secretary of State Colin Powell, explaining the Pottery Barn Rule ("you break it, you own it") to President Bush in the summer of 2002.

--------

I didn't feel any special need to issue an apologia the other day when that group of crazies who chose to call themselves Democrats ran their disturbing and contemptible ad down in Florida, so I'm not about to suggest that mainstream conservatives are in any way responsible for the behavior of those behind the death threats 9-11 commissioner Jamie Gorelick is now receiving. They're not. Period, full stop. On the other hand, the story is worth noting. So ... consider it noted.

NOTE: Noted first by Oliver Willis.

--------

Andrew Sullivan's sober, responsible gas tax proposal gets the same kind of warm-hearted reception that he's offered to so many similarly thoughtful ideas in the past. (Via Stephen Green.)

--------

James Joyner, speaking for many of us this morning: "Apparently, 'treated according to the treatment of prisoners in the Islamic religion' is synonymous with 'tortured' and/or 'coerced into providing propaganda for the enemy.'"

--------

A few days ago, I linked to a Mark Kleiman post in which he made the indisputable point that several bloggers owe Richard Clarke a retraction and an apology. After listening closely to the deafening silence in the days since, Mark is now quite rightly beginning to wonder whether it's time to start calling people out.

--------

Not long ago, I 'fessed up to (and at least perfunctorily apologized for) the fact that I wasn't exactly what one would call responsive to e-mailers during the blog break last month. [See the Announcements on your left.] One of the folks who took the time to write and never got a proper reply was Mayor Gary Kohlenberg, the gentleman who's running against Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner in Wisconsin's 5th District. So I'd like to take a moment here to mention the mayor and his campaign.

Now, I'm sure I don't need to tell you that I'd support an old yellow dog over the hyper-partisan, Jamie-Gorelick-bashing Mr. Sensenbrenner. But, as it turns out, I -- we -- don't have to. Instead, it looks like we may just have a real candidate this time -- a man who's run and won in the area (as a write-in, no less), and has already managed to raise $100,000 for his campaign. Check out Mayor Kohlenberg's well-designed and informative website for more details on the candidate they're calling the "Maverick Mayor of Oconomowoc." (Oconomowoc? Sometimes, I'm really glad blogs are a print medium....)

POSTSCRIPT: Mayor Kohlenberg's first e-mail was, like several others I've received recently, in part an advertising inquiry -- and the plain truth is that I haven't given any real thought at all to that subject ... yet. I'll start looking into the various options available (Blogads, maybe?) in the next few days, and then let y'all/yous guys know what I've decided. As a former president used to say, stay tuned.

--------

Now that's funny.

--------

One of the most harrowing experiences of my college years revolved around a Faulkner seminar I took when I was stuck here in Charleston one summer. (And yes, as I recall, it was a long, hot one.) Basically, the course involved reading a novel every day or so, ruminating for a few short hours on the human misery limned therein, and then moving right along to the next heartbreaking tale of squalid Southern woe. As I said at the time, the class was valuable -- the professor was a distaff Kingsfield of sorts, and I learned an awful lot -- but I found myself wanting to crawl into a bathtub with a drink and a straight razor every afternoon around four.

So why am I going on about all this? Well, it's meant to serve as a friendly warning. You see, I'm about to suggest that you should go read Juan Cole today. Just start at the top and work your way down. You will, in fact, learn an awful lot about the increasingly dire situation we seem to be facing in Iraq. But if you're not careful, before you know it you'll find yourself thinking about a martini and a nice hot bath.

UPDATE: The same professor also taught early and late Shakespeare. And if I'm not mistaken, the final in one of those classes included an essay on the timeless theme of illusion vs. reality....

--------

Two quick questions for the anti-war folks who've decided that those of us on the center-left who initially supported the Iraq war should just sit down and shut up because we were wrong at the time, dammit: (1) Does this score-settling of yours mean that it's time for we centrists to take that See,-Howard-Dean-really-was-a-49-state-disaster-waiting-to-happen victory lap most of us have so studiously avoided up to now in the name of party unity? And (2), in the post-9-11 world -- and 9-11 did happen -- can we really deny a president who has not yet been caught prevaricating about national security the authority to defend the nation when he, and just about everyone else in Washington, for that matter, assures us that the country is at grave risk from weapons of mass destruction? I'm not at all thrilled to say this, but I really don't think we can. And you know what? I'll be more than happy to graciously welcome just about every Democrat in the country to my side of that particular argument when the president we're discussing is named John F. Kerry instead of George W. Bush.

POSTSCRIPT 1: The Americans and innocent Iraqis who've lost their lives in this war represent a terrible human tragedy. But waving their bloody shirts in order to score points in an argument that's essentially about principle would make one no better than the death penalty proponent who delights in displaying grisly crime-scene photos to stir the angry passions of decent, law-abiding Americans. So, if you're thinking of responding to this post in that way, don't.

POSTSCRIPT 2: And just so there's nobody left that I haven't thoroughly PO'd today, I should point out the clear implication of this post to my conservative friends. The key word up there was yet. As in, has not yet been caught prevaricating. Now that this administration has, in fact, been caught with its hand in the WMD jar, the essential trust I'm arguing that every president needs in this not-so-brave new world of ours is no longer Mr.

--------

No, I'm not taking a pass on the oil-for-votes story. In fact, I sat down to write it up immediately after Woodward mentioned it on 60 Minutes last night. In the end, though, I decided to delete the post before publication. (Supporting madrassas, terrorism and Bush-Cheney '04 was the typically understated title it carried, as I recall.) This subject is just too big -- too profoundly serious -- to treat it like a standard-issue Beltway imbroglio. So, if you'll forgive me, I think I'm going to keep my powder dry until I've seen the evidence.

But, my God, if there's even a shred of truth to any of this, Mr. Bush's reelect is about to find itself in the deepest kind of doo-doo imaginable....

--------

According to the Associated Press, the Justice Department can't keep up with the growing demand for terror-related surveillance warrants.

The number of secret surveillance warrants sought by the FBI has increased 85 percent in the past three years, a pace that has outstripped the Justice Department's ability to process them quickly.

Even after warrants are approved, the FBI often doesn't have enough agents or other personnel with the expertise to conduct the surveillance. And the agency still is trying to build a cadre of translators who can understand conversations intercepted in such languages as Arabic, Pashto and Farsi.

To which I have two immediate reactions: (a) Only 85%? I'm surprised that number isn't considerably higher. And (b), to some extent, this is a resource problem. So what in God's name was this administration thinking when it concluded that it wanted to continue cutting taxes during wartime? If the worst happens -- and the experts keep telling us that it almost certainly will someday, despite the best efforts of the feds and the fervent prayers of the rest of us -- there's going to be absolute hell to pay for that irresponsible, ideologically-driven decision. (Via Drudge.)

--------

An "extremely rare" and valuable 1611 edition of Hamlet fails to sell at Christie's as potential bidders just can't seem to make up their minds.

--------

Though I disagree slightly with his take on the Kos contretemps, Matthew Stoller's smart new Gadflyer piece, Release the Blogs, is a must read for anyone who cares about the Internet and progressive politics. So go read it, whydontcha?

--------

Kerry told a hard truth about Iraq. But he shouldn't have! Because it might hurt him politically. Though maybe it won't. But he still shouldn't have said it. [What the hell are you talking about? -- ed. "Too Heroic," currently the second post at Kausfiles. Which I can't link to directly because Mickey ... hates freedom???] ... P.S.: Trust me -- this all makes perfect sense to the cognoscenti. ... P.P.S.: And John Kerry is still wrong! ... P.P.P.S.: Still right. And wrong!

--------

Over at Unfogged, Fontana Labs has uncovered at least one transparent falsehood in the new Woodward book.

--------

"I'm surprised that he is surprised because there was a lot of us who were telling him that it was going to be thus. Anyone could know the problems they were going to see. How could they not? ... I think that some heads should roll over Iraq. I think the president got some bad advice."

--Retired Marine Gen. Anthony Zinni, on Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld's statement yesterday that he has been surprised by recent developments in Iraq (Via Hit & Run.)

UPDATE: Nick Confessore has more here.

--------

One of the things that disturbed me most during the Clinton era was the unwillingness of some conservatives to recognize the basic decency of the vast majority of their political opponents. And in an effort to avoid a hard fall of my own into that particular trap, I'd like to direct your attention to this Virginia Postrel post about an organization that appears to be largely conservative and wholly good: Jim Hake's Spirit of America.

UPDATE 4/17: Ed Thibodeau appears to have had much the same thought. (And based on the time-stamp on his post, he also appears to have had it first. Dammit.)

--------

Will this White House ever get its groove back?

Student newspapers denied access to presidential visit
DES MOINES -- Three student newspapers were not allowed to cover President Bush's visit to Des Moines on Thursday.

The Iowa State Daily; the Daily Iowan, the student newspaper at the University of Iowa; and the DMACC Chronicle, the student newspaper of the Ankeny campus of Des Moines Area Community College, were all left off the approved list to cover the presidential visit.

A reporter and a photographer from WQAD in the Quad Cities were also left off the list because of a late fax request to the White House press office, but were later let in to cover the event.

"We took all the right steps to get in, and we got screwed in the end," said Scott Mussell, photographer for the DMACC Chronicle.

Mike Allsup, reporter for the Chronicle, said the paper had faxed press credential information to the White House press office at 11 a.m. Tuesday, a full day before the due date.

"I think they missed out on a huge opportunity for getting the president's message out to students," he said.

Allsup said he was later contacted by the White House press office and told the president didn't want students covering the event in Des Moines.

"The fact they called me and told me that really pissed me off," he said.


Via Romenesco.

--------

Three long days ago, GOP Sen. Pat Roberts, chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, stated unequivocally that Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist was flat wrong when he alleged that Richard Clarke's sworn testimony before the 9-11 Commission was at odds with his earlier (still classified) statements under oath to Roberts' Intelligence Committee -- a serious charge that been gleefully repeated by the president's political allies ever since.

Mark Kleiman is still waiting to hear apologies and retractions.

UPDATE: The American Prospect's Garance Franke-Ruta says that Sen. Frist's charges were the product of a half-vast right wing conspiracy.

--------

Since so many other Democratic bloggers have already discussed Will Saletan's devastating critique of the president's performance Tuesday night, I won't waste your time with any kind of a recap or a lengthy quote. (If you're one of the three folks left who hasn't already read the piece, you'll find it here.) What I would like to do, though, is this: I'd like to request a thorough, well-executed fisking of the article by a thoughtful conservative blogger. Not a snide dismissal or an angry denunciation, mind you, but a calm, rational refutation of Mr. Saletan's major points. The kind of fisking that we'd expect to see from a George Will or a Bill Buckley, if they were in the fisking business.

And why would a pro-Kerry Democrat want to see something like that? Well, here's the thing: It seems to me that one of the unmentioned -- and relatively speaking, of course, unimportant -- casualties of the recent hostilities in Iraq has been the general level of discourse in the blogosphere. (A quick confession: I've had to kill five or six posts before they saw print in the past few days because, on second reading, they just seemed a little too ... well, a little too something. Not quite angry or uncivil, but close. And when a notoriously squishy moderate like me starts getting his Irish up, you know there's a problem.) A carefully-reasoned rejoinder to Saletan's eloquent and persuasive argument might be just the thing to get us all back on track.

So that's the challenge I'm respectfully throwing down this morning before my conservative friends in the blogging community. Take Will Saletan's piece and rip it to shreds. Go ahead. Really. Make the poor man sorry he ever even learned how to type.

Any takers?

UPDATE: Hard as it is for me to believe, there are other people up at this ungodly hour (about 4:30 AM) and they have enough energy to send e-mail -- in this case suggesting that I was being a tad disingenuous in the post above. And there's probably some truth to that. I do think it would be extraordinarily difficult to refute Saletan's argument; not surprisingly, most of what he says seems almost self-evidently true to me. On the other hand, I'd enjoy seeing somebody give it a try, and I suspect I just might learn something if their counter-arguments were smart and well-crafted. Which wouldn't be a bad thing, would it?

--------

Anti-Kerry Ad on Terrorist Video Game Site

NOTE: The story, while interesting, doesn't really live up to its billing.

UPDATE -- MORE NEWS FROM THE AD FRONT: According to today's WaPo, the Kerry campaign is planning to launch "an intensified ad blitz in the next two weeks." The new spots are said to highlight the senator's "military résumé and 'New Democrat' message of fiscal restraint and national security might."

--------

According to fresh polling data that Ruy Teixeira has examined in some detail, 60% of the American people "say they personally did not benefit from the 2003 tax cut, compared to just 34 who say they did."

UPDATE: The Kerry campaign has identified several charter members of the 34% club.

--------

Klein: "I mean honestly, getting outraged at the Bush Administration is like playing Whack-A-Mole these days. And I'm all out of hammers."

--------

Because the senator from Arizona keeps saying things like this.

--------

I admit it. The first time I heard the phrase "faith-based prisons," I laughed. And I have no doubt that they raise all sorts of grave constitutional and public policy questions. But, honestly, haven't we reached the point where anything -- just about anything at all -- that makes those god-awful places a little more humane has to be seen as an improvement? (Via TalkLeft.)

--------

Barry Ritholtz: "What we are seeing -- in real time -- is an unravelling of the administration's media management strategy."

--------

Blogger Greg Greene is now the press secretary and research director of the Cathy Woolard for Congress campaign, and he's doing exactly what any good staffer should do -- unabashedly begging for your assistance.

--------

When President Bush is faced with a question for which he hasn't been properly prepared, Tom Tomorrow writes, he "starts sputtering like a computer on the original Star Trek, after Captain Kirk has just irrefutably pointed out the illogic of its basic programming."

Fascinating....

--------

AP: "CARACAS, Venezuela - Street peddlers who traditionally hawk palm-thatch holy crosses, incense and ceramic religious statuettes outside churches during Holy Week had a new item that was outselling all others this year: pirated videos of Mel Gibson's The Passion of the Christ."

--------

Honestly, Mr. President, we
heard you the first time
.

POSTSCRIPT: All kidding aside -- if you liked the "no
controlling legal authority
" clips back in '97, you're gonna love what
some bright guy at MoveOn.org (or a similar
outfit) eventually does with this stuff.

--------

Joyner: "I pretty much avoid [blog] sites that take the constant position that the opposition is evil. If words like asshat, idiotarian, wingnut, Dimocrap, and 'is Hitler' are the normal order of the day, it doesn’t take long for me to lose interest in the site and move on. It’s seldom even worth engaging in cross-blog discussion of what’s on those sites, frankly. If you honestly think George W. Bush or John Kerry are akin to Adolph Hitler, there’s not much point in trying to persuade you otherwise."

--------

The 9-11 hearings just went off the air for the day, and the most interesting story coming out of them appears to be the news that President Clinton signed a still-classified memorandum giving the Justice Department special powers to do, well, something about (or to?) UBL. A classified document wrapped in a mystery inside a leaky Washington, DC? Unless I'm way off base here (or somehow misunderstood a couple of the commissioners' questions), we should be learning a lot more about all this by tonight or tomorrow morning.

--------

In his review of the new documentary, Control Room, Lee Smith makes the following point:


There will always be a certain number of Western news consumers predisposed to believe anything so long as it attributes mysterious and sinister motives to the U.S. government. The problem for the rest of us isn't Al Jazeera or Arab-press-style conspiracy theories appearing in the Western media. Rather, the White House, with its accumulated misstatements and deceptions, has unwittingly collaborated with the enemy's public relations wing. By playing fast and loose with the truth, the Bush administration has created an atmosphere where Al Jazeera's paranoia and conspiracy theories almost seem legitimate.



Now, obviously, I not about to deny that many of the Democrats currently attacking the president on the credibility gap problem Smith describes above are doing so for partisan gain. (Welcome to the NFL, as the sports guys like to say.) But the concerns they're raising are legitimate nonetheless. In fact, many of us who initially crossed party lines to support the Iraq war have found ourselves disillusioned not by the increasing dangers and difficulties of the mission, but rather by this administration's seemingly endless willingness -- desire, even -- to substitute simple-minded PR nonsense for serious talk about serious matters. If Karl Rove and Co. manage to lose this election -- and hard as it is to believe, they well may -- their consistent deceptiveness on issues of grave national importance will surely be one of the major reasons why. And they'll have no one but themselves to blame.


UPDATE: As you can undoubtedly tell from the strained transition above, I was (rather inelegantly) using Smith's review to make a somewhat different point of my own about the administration's misadventures in Iraq. It turns out I should have simply waited a few hours and pegged my post to this thoughtful piece by The Washington Monthly's Kevin Drum.

--------

Julian Sanchez on the press conference: "Sometimes I'm not sure whether Bush is taking his cues from Karl Rove or Salvador Dali."

--------

The fissures in the conservative coalition got just a little bit deeper today, with the announcement that the free market will soon start delivering gay TV programming that religious conservatives will no doubt find completely unacceptable.



Here! TV, a supplier of gay- and lesbian-oriented content to satellite customers via pay-per-view, is eyeing an Oct. 1 launch for a round-the-clock programing service that will feature classic and original films and TV shows.


As part of its pledge to produce more than 200 hours of original programing a year, Here! TV has given the go-ahead to 12 original movies and four original series.


The Here! TV original series include "Dante's Cove," a gay and lesbian Gothic horror thriller currently filming in the Caribbean, and "Weapons of Mass Destruction," a spy thriller starring Cynthia Rothrock as a lesbian action hero.



Sooner or later, the Republican party is going to have to pick sides in this ongoing fight between mammon and morality, in much the same way that the Democrats were eventually forced to choose between Northern libs and their Southern and working class base. And the Republicans' decision, whatever it is, will almost certainly be every bit as damaging to the GOP as the Democrats' choice ultimately was to the party of the New Deal.

--------

President Bush and his political allies are absolutely right in much of what they've been saying of late about occupations: They're fantastically complex, they take a lot of troops and a ton of time, and they require an enormous degree of discipline and patience on the part of the American people. But aren't those precisely the points that the go-slow-and-find-some-allies crowd kept trying to make during the run-up to the war? And isn't it more than a little unreasonable to ask those folks not to stand up and say, Hey, we were right -- and the happy horse manure you were getting from the administration was flat wrong today?

In fact, isn't that exactly what elections are supposed to be all about?

--------

Whatever you may think of these guys on a personal level, there's just no way to dismiss them as a bunch of wimpy, fuzzy-headed liberal appeasers. So, if the clash of serious men and women with substantive ideas and clearly articulated policy differences still warrants any press coverage whatsoever in an election year, we should see a pretty invigorating foreign policy debate over the next few months. I don't know about anybody else, but I'm looking forward to it.

--------

Glenn Reynolds was kind enough to link to a post here on the blog last night, and, if I'm reading my referer logs correctly, it looks as though more than a third of the traffic he's sent this way in the hours since has arrived from the PDA version of his site. Wow.

As a former employer of mine used to say, Damn, I'm gonna hafta git me some a that!


UPDATE: Actually, since morning, it's not "more than a third." It's well over half.

--------

According to Reuters, Senate Republican Leader Bill Frist is planning to break with Senate tradition by actively campaigning against Democratic Leader Tom Daschle next month in South Dakota.


Senate leaders have long been reluctant to campaign against each other. Their chamber is seen as a chummy place where cooperation is often essential.


Yet with Republicans holding a slim Senate majority that has resulted in much partisan gridlock, Frist decided to go to South Dakota to try to bring down Daschle, his top Democratic rival. [...]


The Senate historian's office said it could not recall another case in the past half century where one Senate leader has campaigned against another on the rival's home turf. [Emph. added.]



Like the man said, class will out.

--------

Believe it or not, I'm actually glad (well, kinda sorta glad, anyway) to see reports like this one coming out of the Kerry camp at this point in the election season.


Democrat John Kerry "doesn't warm anybody up," and organized labor must help him create an emotional bond if fence-sitting union members are to vote for him in November, according to focus groups of undecided union voters.


But these union members find President Bush likable and strong, "with a nice family and good moral values," said a memo of results prepared for the AFL-CIO and obtained by The Associated Press. The focus groups were conducted last month in St. Louis and Philadelphia by Lake Snell Perry & Associates, a Democratic firm.


The findings offer fresh evidence that Kerry's reputation for aloofness is a hurdle the presumptive Democratic nominee must overcome — even among his party's core constituencies. And despite the acidity labor leaders direct toward Bush and his policies, he still appeals to a segment of union members, namely the Reagan Democrats.



You don't win elections by denying your shortcomings as a candidate. Just the opposite, in fact. You win elections by rigorously identifying your weaknesses, and then crafting sound strategies to diminish the damage they're likely to cause when people start paying attention in the fall. And it sounds like Sen. Kerry and his supporters are doing just that.

--------

Add conservative columnist David Brooks to the growing list of folks who now recognize that the administration was remarkably unwise in its approach to the war in Iraq.

The administration war plan called for a lean, high-tech invasion. That's fine if you know who your enemies are and where you can hit them. But if you don't have that information, you probably have to hang around, feeling your way through the neighborhoods. For that you need boots on the ground — enough to cope with the unexpected. You need heavy armor, because it's likely your enemies will strike first before you know where they are.

The Bush administration sent too few troops into Iraq, and they stuck them in Humvees that couldn't withstand a semi-serious terrorist attack.

Worse yet, the administration never bothered to educate the American people on the nature of war amid uncertainty. The president did not stress beforehand that it was necessary to act, even though some of his suppositions would inevitably prove to be incorrect.

Sigh. When, oh when, will these left-wing America-haters finally learn to stop worrying and love the president. I guess we can only wait in hope for that glorious day. In the meantime, you can read the rest of Brooks' piece here.

--------

The three letter agencies get their turn in the box before the 9-11 Commission today, with several former and current FBI and CIA officials scheduled to testify; according to the Washington Post, the questioning is expected to be pointed.

--------

The president's press conference tonight was like two completely separate events. The first -- a seventeen minute speech on the Iraq war -- was quite good. While the second -- a press conference in which the president essentially accused his political opponents of aiding and abetting the enemy, and then went on to freeze up rather embarrassingly when asked to recall a single error he'd made since 9-11 -- was, to say the least, disappointing. More on all this tomorrow, after a few hours sleep and a second viewing.

--------

June 13, 2004

I know I just said I wouldn't be blogging again until tomorrow, but this Jeff Jarvis post is such a head-scratcher that I thought it required at least a brief response.


Jarvis: Bob Kerrey, self-styled attack dog of the 9/11 Commission, is in the NY Times Sunday saying again that 9/11 could have been prevented but without saying, again, how.
Kerrey: One episode strikes me as particularly important. On July 5, 2001, Ms. Rice asked Richard Clarke, then the administration's counterterrorism chief, to help domestic agencies prepare against an attack. Five days later an F.B.I. field agent in Phoenix recommended that the agency investigate whether Qaeda operatives were training at American flight schools. He speculated that Mr. bin Laden's followers might be trying to infiltrate the civil aviation system as pilots, security guards or other personnel.

Ms. Rice did not receive this information, a failure for which she blames the structure of government. And, while I am not blaming her, I have not seen the kind of urgent follow-up after this July 5 meeting that anyone who has worked in government knows is needed to make things happen. I have not found evidence that federal agencies were directed clearly, forcefully and unambiguously to tell the president everything they were doing to eliminate Qaeda cells in the United States.


What, exactly, was Jeff looking for in terms of specificity? The day of the week Ms. Rice should have started shaking up her bureaucracy? The names of the agents Kerrey thinks should have made the arrests?

Oh, well. As always, we report, you decide.

--------

Here's Andrew Sullivan on yesterday's 9-11 hearings:

CONDI: What is there to say? We have a frigging war on and the major networks all run this? I have nothing to add. Except to say: we have a war on. We used to win them before we engaged in elaborate blame-games as to who was asleep at the wheel when they broke out.

And here, for your almost endless reading pleasure, is a link to the final reports generated by the nine -- count 'em, folks, nine -- official investigations ("elaborate blame-games," one might even call them) into the attack on Pearl Harbor that were conducted between December of 1941 and May of 1946.

So what is there to say about Andrew's post? We have a frigging war on and the second most influential blogger in the known universe runs this? I have nothing to add. Except to say: we have a war on. And that we used to win them before a small group of neocons in the White House (along with their cheerleaders in the blogosphere) decided that facts were just a silly preoccupation of secular scientists and fuzzy-headed liberals, and that reality would always and inevitably yield to the relentless incantation of truths that they and they alone possess.

UPDATE: Post translated from pre-coffee gobbledygook to something vaguely resembling English at 4:35pm EST.

--------

... and I'll see you Monday.

--------

"As you might recall, there was some specific threats for overseas that we reacted to. And as the president, I wanted to know whether there was anything, any actionable intelligence. And I looked at the August 6th briefing, I was satisfied that some of the matters were being looked into. But that PDB said nothing about an attack on America."

President George W. Bush, speaking to reporters yesterday about a memo titled, "Bin Ladin Determined To Strike in US"

--------

With today's addition of Deborah O'Toole's Irish Eyes, there are now two(!) O'Toole blogs in the roll that are consistently smarter and better written than the one you're currently perusing.

Geez. How come guys with names like Drum and Marshall and Reynolds never seem to have this problem?

--------

Tom Friedman gets it just about right in this morning's New York Times:

[A]fter 9/11, trying to build a decent state in the heart of a drifting Arab-Muslim world — a world that is manufacturing millions of frustrated, unemployed youths — was worth trying. But it takes resources and legitimacy, and the Bush team has provided too little of both.

From the start, this has always been a Karl Rove war. Lots of photo-ops, lots of talk about "I am a war president," lots of premature banners about "Mission Accomplished," but totally underresourced, because the president never wanted to ask Americans to sacrifice. The Bush motto has been: "We're at war, let's party — let's cut taxes, forgo any gasoline tax, not mobilize too many reserves and, by the way, let's disband the Iraqi Army and unemploy 500,000 Iraqi males, because that's what Ahmad Chalabi and his pals want us to do." [...]

Without more allies, without more global legitimacy — and without an Iraqi center ready to stand up against their Khmer Rouge now posing as their Viet Cong — we cannot win in Iraq. We will be building a house with bricks and no cement. In that case, we will have to move to Plan B. Too bad we never really had Plan A.


More on the chaos in Iraq later. In the meantime, the rest of the Friedman column is here.

--------

When GOP Rep. Henry Bonilla took over the American Dream PAC in 1999, he pledged to use its resources "to give significant, direct financial assistance to first-rate minority GOP candidates."

Turns out, the bulk of the money he's raised for that lofty purpose in the years since has gone to "first-rate minority" candidates like Tom Delay, Phil Gramm, Heather Wilson and Steve Buyer -- while more, uh, traditional minority GOPers have apparently had to make do with a little less than 9% of the take....

--------

Blogroll

Powered by
Movable Type 3.2